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Wanderers vs Nacional prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Wanderers €6.30m
Full time 1 : 1
Nacional €19.58m
1 4.60
X 3.55
2 1.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
68%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.29 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Wanderers 16%@4.60
Draw 43%@3.55
Nacional 41%@1.80
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 32%@2.74
Under 3.5 68%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.92
No 40%@1.82
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.39
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

WanderersModelNacional
50%Ball possession50%
6Shots9
3Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
0Fouls made11
WanderersRealNacional
44%Ball possession56%
3Shots6
1Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards3
WanderersReal · ModelNacional
44%50%Ball possession56%50%
36Shots69
13Shots on goal54
33Corner kicks57
12Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

WanderersPer gameNacional
1.4Goals for / game1.2
1.5Goals against / game1.3
53%Ball possession55%
7.2Shots per game8.6
3.5Corners per game6.8

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

WanderersRateNacional
50%Wins50%
90%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Wanderers WWLDL
W 4 Oct Cerro Wanderers 0 2 2.75 2.52
W 29 Sept Wanderers Albion 2 1 2.40 2.95
L 24 Sept Wanderers Cerrito 1 3 2.20 3.20
D 20 Sept Danubio Wanderers 1 1 2.20 3.30
L 10 Sept Maldonado Wanderers 4 1 1.50 6.10
L 5 Sept Maldonado Wanderers 2 0 2.07 3.60
D 1 Sept Wanderers Cerro 1 1 3.85 2.23
W 28 Aug Wanderers Central Esp. 3 0 2.05 3.60
L 23 Aug Torque Wanderers 5 1 2.02 3.55
D 15 Aug Wanderers Cerro Largo 1 1 2.28 3.55
Nacional WWWDW
W 26 Sept Cerro Largo Nacional 0 2 4.75 1.72
W 20 Sept Nacional Defensor Sp. 3 2 1.71 4.65
W 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
D 6 Sept Nacional Juventud 2 2 1.83 4.70
W 3 Sept River Plate Nacional 2 3 4.55 1.93
W 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
D 27 Aug Nacional Albion 0 0 2.06 3.55
W 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 15 Aug Racing M Nacional 2 0 3.75 2.33
L 9 Aug Nacional Boston River 1 2 1.47 6.80

Past meetings

Wanderers
1·1·4
Nacional
  • Jul 2026 Nacional 1 - 2 Wanderers
  • Mar 2026 Nacional 2 - 0 Wanderers
  • Oct 2025 Wanderers 0 - 0 Nacional
  • Apr 2025 Nacional 3 - 1 Wanderers
  • Sept 2024 Wanderers 0 - 2 Nacional
  • Mar 2024 Nacional 3 - 0 Wanderers

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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