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France Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Ligue 1 AI predictions

Follow Ligue 1 with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

74%
Hit rate
28 Matches studied
75% Average chance
18 Clubs covered

28 Ligue 1 games into the season, the numbers read like this: 44% home wins, 63% with both teams scoring and 2.74 goals per match on average. New Ligue 1 picks below are recorded before kickoff and graded in public afterwards. Monaco sit top on 14 points after 6 matches.

Both sides have scored in 63% of Ligue 1 matches this season. Goals are flowing in Ligue 1: 59% of games have gone over 2.5, with an average of 2.74 per match.

Next Ligue 1 fixtures, with picks

Ligue 1 results, graded

Marseille versus Paris S, Ligue 1 (France), Sun, 20 Sept. Marseille 1, Paris S 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 6.80 on 1, 5.50 on X, 1.47 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Paris S win (1.47 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.41 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.42 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Paris S win (1.47 odds) — Won.
FT
Marseille1
PSG2
✓ 2
▾1.4778%
Nice versus Lille, Ligue 1 (France), Sun, 20 Sept. Nice 2, Lille 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.25 on 1, 3.55 on X, 2.20 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Lille win (2.20 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.26 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.63 odds). Best tip, with a 74% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.26 odds) — Won.
FT
Nice2
Lille1
✓ O1.5
▾1.2674%
Auxerre versus Stade B, Ligue 1 (France), Sun, 20 Sept. Auxerre 2, Stade B 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.92 on 1, 3.55 on X, 2.40 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.55 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.25 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.60 odds). Best tip, with a 76% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.25 odds) — Won.
FT
Auxerre2
Brest1
✓ O1.5
▾1.2576%
Toulouse versus Le Havre, Ligue 1 (France), Sat, 19 Sept. Toulouse 3, Le Havre 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.70 on 1, 4.20 on X, 5.30 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Toulouse win (1.70 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.52 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.67 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.52 odds) — Lost.
FT
Toulouse3
Le Havre2
✗ U3.5
▴1.5278%
Lyon versus Rennes, Ligue 1 (France), Sat, 19 Sept. Lyon 4, Rennes 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.17 on 1, 3.85 on X, 3.25 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.85 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.57 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.50 odds). Best tip, with a 70% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.57 odds) — Won.
FT
Lyon4
Rennes0
✓ O2.5
▴1.5770%
Le Mans versus Lorient, Ligue 1 (France), Sat, 19 Sept. Le Mans 2, Lorient 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.90 on 1, 3.30 on X, 2.52 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.30 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.33 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.74 odds). Best tip, with a 76% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.33 odds) — Won.
FT
Le Mans2
Lorient1
✓ O1.5
1.3376%
Angers versus Estac Troyes, Ligue 1 (France), Sat, 19 Sept. Angers 2, Estac Troyes 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.15 on 1, 3.50 on X, 3.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (1.33 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.42 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.67 odds). Best tip, with a 68% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.42 odds) — Won.
FT
Angers2
Troyes0
✓ U3.5
▴1.4268%
Paris FC versus Strasbourg, Ligue 1 (France), Sat, 19 Sept. Paris FC 2, Strasbourg 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.85 on 1, 3.90 on X, 4.05 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Paris FC win (1.85 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.58 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.55 odds). Best tip, with a 85% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.27 odds) — Won.
FT
Paris FC2
Strasbourg1
✓ 1X
▾1.2785%
Monaco versus Lens, Ligue 1 (France), Fri, 18 Sept. Monaco 2, Lens 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.87 on 1, 4.10 on X, 4.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Monaco win (1.87 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.53 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.51 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: Both teams to score (1.51 odds) — Won.
FT
Monaco2
Lens1
✓ BTTS
1.5175%
Stade Brestois 29 versus Paris Saint Germain, Ligue 1 (France), Sun, 13 Sept. Stade Brestois 29 0, Paris Saint Germain 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 12.00 on 1, 7.50 on X, 1.25 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Paris Saint Germain win (1.25 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.33 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.72 odds). Best tip, with a 85% chance: Paris Saint Germain win (1.25 odds) — Won.
FT
Brest0
PSG1
✓ 2
▾1.2585%
Le Mans versus Lens, Ligue 1 (France), Sun, 13 Sept. Le Mans 2, Lens 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 5.20 on 1, 4.40 on X, 1.65 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Lens win (1.65 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.60 odds). Best tip, with a 68% chance: Lens win (1.65 odds) — Lost.
FT
Le Mans2
Lens2
✗ 2
▴1.6568%
Lille versus Estac Troyes, Ligue 1 (France), Sun, 13 Sept. Lille 2, Estac Troyes 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.55 on 1, 4.80 on X, 7.00 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.85 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.83 odds). Best tip, with a 70% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.55 odds) — Won.
FT
Lille2
Troyes0
✓ U3.5
▴1.5570%

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Questions and answers

Are any Ligue 1 picks free?

Yes. A share of the Ligue 1 tips is free each matchday, while BananaGoal Premium unlocks the remaining upcoming picks, the complete AI Bet Builder and full odds.

What is your hit rate on Ligue 1?

The full Ligue 1 history is public, losses included, so the hit rate is there for you to judge before you spend anything.

What will I find on the Ligue 1 page?

Model picks for the next Ligue 1 fixtures with their chances, the current standings, recently graded results and a season breakdown covering home/draw/away shares, over/under and BTTS rates. This season in Ligue 1: over 2.5 goals in 59% of games, 22% draws, 33% away wins.

What goes into your Ligue 1 predictions?

Our machine-learning model combines form, xG, injuries and past meetings, then publishes only its strongest Ligue 1 calls.

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