Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026
Uruguay Primera División AI predictions
Follow Primera División with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.
69%
Hit rate
17
Matches studied
76%
Average chance
16
Clubs covered
Our model has studied 17 matches in Uruguay Primera División so far this season. The home side has taken 50% of them, 50% have produced goals at both ends, and the average match has brought 2.38 goals. Each Primera División pick below is logged publicly and graded once the final whistle goes. Penarol sit top on 65 points after 33 matches.
Primera División season in numbers
50%
19%
31%
Home wins 50%
Draws 19%
Away wins 31%
50%Over 2.5 goals
50%Both sides scored
2.38Average goals
Next Primera División fixtures, with picks
Primera División results, graded
Racing Montevideo versus Penarol, Primera División (Uruguay), Sun, 4 Oct. Racing Montevideo 0, Penarol 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.55 on 1, 3.15 on X, 2.12 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Penarol win (2.12 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.54 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.71 odds). Best tip, with a 82% chance: Away side avoids defeat (1.30 odds) — Won.
Racing M0
Penarol1Cerro versus Wanderers, Primera División (Uruguay), Sun, 4 Oct. Cerro 0, Wanderers 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.75 on 1, 3.10 on X, 2.52 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (1.52 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.62 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.95 odds). Best tip, with a 62% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.62 odds) — Won.
Cerro0
Wanderers2Boston River versus Juventud, Primera División (Uruguay), Sun, 4 Oct. Boston River 0, Juventud 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.62 on 1, 3.30 on X, 2.70 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Juventud win (2.70 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.34 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.07 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.34 odds) — Won.
Boston River0
Juventud0Danubio versus Cerro Largo, Primera División (Uruguay), Sun, 4 Oct. Danubio 2, Cerro Largo 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.02 on 1, 3.25 on X, 3.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.25 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.60 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.72 odds). Best tip, with a 89% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.60 odds) — Lost.
Danubio2
Cerro Largo1Deportivo Maldonado versus Central Espanol, Primera División (Uruguay), Sat, 3 Oct. Deportivo Maldonado 3, Central Espanol 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.68 on 1, 3.85 on X, 4.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.25 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.35 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.87 odds). Best tip, with a 69% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.35 odds) — Won.
Maldonado3
Central Esp.0Albion FC versus Defensor Sporting, Primera División (Uruguay), Sat, 3 Oct. Albion FC 3, Defensor Sporting 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.81 on 1, 3.20 on X, 2.55 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (1.44 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.27 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.90 odds). Best tip, with a 89% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.27 odds) — Lost.
Albion3
Defensor Sp.2Liverpool Montevideo versus Progreso, Primera División (Uruguay), Sat, 3 Oct. Liverpool Montevideo 3, Progreso 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.68 on 1, 3.75 on X, 5.40 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Liverpool Montevideo win (1.68 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.28 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.91 odds). Best tip, with a 64% chance: Liverpool Montevideo win (1.68 odds) — Won.
Liverpool M.3
Progreso2Atletico Torque versus Penarol, Primera División (Uruguay), Thu, 1 Oct. Atletico Torque 1, Penarol 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.20 on 1, 3.45 on X, 2.25 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Atletico Torque win (3.20 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.32 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.79 odds). Best tip, with a 80% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.32 odds) — Won.
Torque 1Penarol1Wanderers versus Albion FC, Primera División (Uruguay), Tue, 29 Sept. Wanderers 2, Albion FC 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.40 on 1, 3.10 on X, 2.95 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Wanderers win (2.40 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.27 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.95 odds). Best tip, with a 68% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.40 odds) — Won.Wanderers2Albion1Defensor Sporting versus Danubio, Primera División (Uruguay), Sun, 27 Sept. Defensor Sporting 1, Danubio 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.28 on 1, 3.15 on X, 3.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Defensor Sporting win (2.28 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.67 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.85 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.38 odds) — Won.Defensor Sp.1Danubio0Juventud versus Cerro, Primera División (Uruguay), Sun, 27 Sept. Juventud 0, Cerro 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.74 on 1, 3.40 on X, 5.20 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Juventud win (1.74 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.65 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.73 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Juventud win (1.74 odds) — Lost.Juventud0Cerro0Central Espanol versus Liverpool Montevideo, Primera División (Uruguay), Sun, 27 Sept. Central Espanol 1, Liverpool Montevideo 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.30 on 1, 3.30 on X, 1.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Liverpool Montevideo win (1.90 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.24 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.95 odds). Best tip, with a 85% chance: Liverpool Montevideo scores (1.23 odds) — Won.Central Esp.1Liverpool M.2
FT
Racing M0Penarol1✓ X2
FT
Cerro0Wanderers2✓ U2.5
FT
Boston River0Juventud0✓ U3.5
FT
Danubio2Cerro Largo1✗ U2.5
FT
Maldonado3Central Esp.0✓ U3.5
FT
Albion3Defensor Sp.2✗ U3.5
FT
Liverpool M.3Progreso2✓ 1
FT
Torque 1Penarol1✓ O1.5
FT
Wanderers2Albion1✓ 1X
FT
Defensor Sp.1Danubio0✓ 1X
FT
Juventud0Cerro0✗ 1
FT
Central Esp.1Liverpool M.2✓ AS
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Questions and answers
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Look at the record: each Primera División pick gets a won or lost grade after the final whistle and is never removed, so you can measure our accuracy before subscribing.
What will I find on the Primera División page?
Four picks per Primera División match: the 1X2 outcome, over/under, BTTS and our best tip, each shown with the chance the model gives it. This season in Uruguay Primera División: over 2.5 goals in 50% of games, 19% draws, 31% away wins.
What goes into your Primera División predictions?
Data, not opinions. Head-to-head results, injuries, recent form and expected goals go into a machine-learning model, which rates every Primera División match and publishes its picks automatically, with no human choosing them.