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Vitória SC vs Nacional prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC €45.00m
Full time 1 : 0
Nacional €19.23m
1 1.68
X 4.10
2 5.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.36 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Vitória SC 57%@1.68
Draw 25%@4.10
Nacional 18%@5.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 24%@4.31
Under 3.5 76%@1.36
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.94
No 56%@1.87
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 82%@1.38
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Vitória SCModelNacional
1.73xG0.99
52%Ball possession48%
18Shots11
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made14
Vitória SCRealNacional
3.14xG0.42
48%Ball possession52%
23Shots7
5Shots on goal0
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls1
18Fouls made8
Vitória SCReal · ModelNacional
3.141.73xG0.420.99
48%52%Ball possession52%48%
2318Shots711
55Shots on goal05
45Corner kicks34
23Yellow cards13
21Offside calls11
1813Fouls made814

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Vitória SCPer gameNacional
1.8Goals for / game1.2
1.0Goals against / game1.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Vitória SCRateNacional
50%Wins20%
80%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.540%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Vitória SC DLDLL
D 20 Sept Vitoria SC Moreirense 1 1 1.55 6.60
L 12 Sept Academico Viseu Vitoria SC 2 1 3.90 2.12
D 6 Sept Vitoria SC Casa Pia 0 0 1.50 8.25
L 31 Aug Braga Vitoria SC 1 0 1.92 4.70
L 14 Aug Sporting CP Vitória SC 3 2 1.44 9.00
L 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Vitória SC Chaves 2 0 1.58 4.50
D 26 Jul Vitória SC Nottingham 1 1 4.45 1.65
W 24 Jul Al Ahli SC Vitória SC 1 3 – –
D 23 Jul Rio Ave Vitória SC 0 0 – –
Nacional LLLLW
L 19 Sept Nacional Famalicao 0 4 4.40 2.00
L 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
L 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
W 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional 2 2 1.98 4.80
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
D 22 Jul Nacional Leganes 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Tondela Nacional 0 0 – –
D 18 Jul Nacional Leixoes 3 3 – –

Past meetings

Vitória SC
2·1·1
Nacional
  • May 2026 Nacional 2 - 0 Vitória SC
  • Jan 2026 Vitória SC 2 - 1 Nacional
  • May 2025 Nacional 1 - 2 Vitória SC
  • Dec 2024 Vitória SC 2 - 2 Nacional

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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