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Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Portugal Primeira Liga AI predictions

Follow Primeira Liga with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

50%
Hit rate
21 Matches studied
79% Average chance
18 Clubs covered

Our model has studied 21 matches in Portugal Primeira Liga so far this season. The home side has taken 35% of them, 70% have produced goals at both ends, and the average match has brought 3.05 goals. Each Primeira Liga pick below is logged publicly and graded once the final whistle goes. FC Porto sit top on 22 points after 8 matches.

Both sides have scored in 70% of Portugal Primeira Liga matches this season. Goals are flowing in Portugal Primeira Liga: 65% of games have gone over 2.5, with an average of 3.05 per match.

Primeira Liga season in numbers

Home wins 35% Draws 30% Away wins 35%
65%Over 2.5 goals
70%Both sides scored
3.05Average goals

Next Primeira Liga fixtures, with picks

Moreirense versus GIL Vicente, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Fri, 9 Oct at 18:45. Bookmaker odds: 3.55 on 1, 3.25 on X, 2.38 on 2. BananaGoal gives its best tip on this match a 81% chance; members can see which pick it is.
18:45
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
?
?81%

Primeira Liga results, graded

FC Porto versus Benfica, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sun, 20 Sept. FC Porto 3, Benfica 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.82 on 1, 3.35 on X, 2.52 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Benfica win (2.52 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.30 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.70 odds). Best tip, with a 82% chance: Away side avoids defeat (1.45 odds) — Lost.
FT
FC Porto3
Benfica1
✗ X2
▾1.4582%
Santa Clara versus SC Braga, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sun, 20 Sept. Santa Clara 0, SC Braga 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.60 on 1, 3.15 on X, 2.27 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: SC Braga win (2.27 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.58 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.79 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.58 odds) — Won.
FT
Santa Clara0
Braga0
✓ U2.5
▾1.5888%
Estoril versus Casa Pia, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sun, 20 Sept. Estoril 1, Casa Pia 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.75 on 1, 3.95 on X, 5.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Estoril win (1.75 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.44 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.07 odds). Best tip, with a 89% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.44 odds) — Won.
FT
Estoril1
Casa Pia2
✓ U3.5
▴1.4489%
Vitoria SC versus Moreirense, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sun, 20 Sept. Vitoria SC 1, Moreirense 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.55 on 1, 4.35 on X, 6.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.57 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.39 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (2.00 odds). Best tip, with a 83% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.39 odds) — Won.
FT
Vitoria SC1
Moreirense1
✓ U3.5
▴1.3983%
Estrela versus Academico Viseu, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sun, 20 Sept. Estrela 0, Academico Viseu 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.22 on 1, 3.40 on X, 3.55 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Estrela win (2.22 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.31 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.76 odds). Best tip, with a 91% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.36 odds) — Lost.
FT
Estrela0
Academico Viseu2
✗ 1X
▴1.3691%
Sporting CP versus Arouca, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sat, 19 Sept. Sporting CP 2, Arouca 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.19 on 1, 7.90 on X, 16.50 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Sporting CP win (1.19 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.42 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.77 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: Sporting CP scores at least 2 (1.24 odds) — Won.
FT
Sporting CP2
Arouca2
✓ HS2+
1.2475%
Alverca versus Rio Ave, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sat, 19 Sept. Alverca 1, Rio Ave 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.87 on 1, 3.65 on X, 4.70 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Alverca win (1.87 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.32 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.95 odds). Best tip, with a 91% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.25 odds) — Won.
FT
Alverca1
Rio Ave0
✓ 1X
▾1.2591%
Nacional versus Famalicao, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sat, 19 Sept. Nacional 0, Famalicao 4 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.40 on 1, 3.40 on X, 2.00 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (1.26 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.26 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.83 odds). Best tip, with a 73% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.26 odds) — Lost.
FT
Nacional0
Famalicao4
✗ U3.5
▾1.2673%
GIL Vicente versus Maritimo, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Sat, 19 Sept. GIL Vicente 1, Maritimo 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.05 on 1, 3.30 on X, 4.20 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: GIL Vicente win (2.05 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.62 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.78 odds). Best tip, with a 80% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.28 odds) — Won.
FT
GIL Vicente1
Maritimo1
✓ 1X
▾1.2880%
SC Braga versus Estoril, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Mon, 14 Sept. SC Braga 1, Estoril 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.44 on 1, 4.85 on X, 8.50 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: SC Braga win (1.44 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.47 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.85 odds). Best tip, with a 85% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.47 odds) — Won.
FT
Braga1
Estoril0
✓ U3.5
▴1.4785%
Moreirense versus Maritimo, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Mon, 14 Sept. Moreirense 3, Maritimo 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.82 on 1, 3.20 on X, 2.80 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (1.47 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.62 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.98 odds). Best tip, with a 43% chance: Away side avoids defeat (1.47 odds) — Lost.
FT
Moreirense3
Maritimo1
✗ X2
▴1.4743%
Rio Ave versus Estrela, Primeira Liga (Portugal), Mon, 14 Sept. Rio Ave 3, Estrela 3 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.92 on 1, 3.30 on X, 2.55 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Estrela win (2.55 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.35 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.80 odds). Best tip, with a 81% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.35 odds) — Won.
FT
Rio Ave3
Estrela3
✓ O1.5
▾1.3581%

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Primeira Liga teams

Moreirense Benfica Estrela Braga Arouca Famalicao Alverca Santa Clara Nacional Sporting CP FC Porto Rio Ave Vitória SC Maritimo Academico Viseu Casa Pia GIL Vicente Estoril

Explore more competitions

Taça de Portugal Liga 3 Segunda Liga Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D

Questions and answers

Are any Primeira Liga picks free?

Every matchday includes free Primeira Liga picks. BananaGoal Premium adds all remaining upcoming picks, complete odds and the daily accumulator.

What is your hit rate on Primeira Liga?

Look at the record: each Primeira Liga pick gets a won or lost grade after the final whistle and is never removed, so you can measure our accuracy before subscribing.

What will I find on the Primeira Liga page?

Four picks per Primeira Liga match: the 1X2 outcome, over/under, BTTS and our best tip, each shown with the chance the model gives it. This season in Portugal Primeira Liga: over 2.5 goals in 65% of games, 30% draws, 35% away wins.

What goes into your Primeira Liga predictions?

Data, not opinions. Head-to-head results, injuries, recent form and expected goals go into a machine-learning model, which rates every Primeira Liga match and publishes its picks automatically, with no human choosing them.

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