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Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Portugal Liga 3 AI predictions

Follow Liga 3 with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

53%
Hit rate
30 Matches studied
75% Average chance
20 Clubs covered

30 Portugal Liga 3 games into the season, the numbers read like this: 43% home wins, 53% with both teams scoring and 2.70 goals per match on average. New Liga 3 picks below are recorded before kickoff and graded in public afterwards. Os Belenenses sit top on 16 points after 6 matches.

Next Liga 3 fixtures, with picks

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Liga 3 results, graded

Paredes versus Fafe, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sun, 13 Sept. Paredes 2, Fafe 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.12 on 1, 3.30 on X, 3.75 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (1.26 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.67 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.85 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.67 odds) — Lost.
FT
Paredes2
Fafe1
✗ U2.5
▴1.6772%
Pacos Ferreira versus Sao Joao Ver, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sun, 13 Sept. Pacos Ferreira 1, Sao Joao Ver 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.07 on 1, 3.30 on X, 3.85 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Pacos Ferreira win (2.07 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.72 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.88 odds). Best tip, with a 76% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.72 odds) — Won.
FT
Pacos F1
Sao Joao Ver1
✓ U2.5
▴1.7276%
Caldas versus Vitoria de Sernache, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sun, 13 Sept. Caldas 2, Vitoria de Sernache 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.15 on 1, 3.30 on X, 3.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (1.77 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.36 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.83 odds). Best tip, with a 76% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.36 odds) — Won.
FT
Caldas2
Vitoria S0
✓ O1.5
▴1.3676%
CF Os Belenenses versus Atletico CP, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sun, 13 Sept. CF Os Belenenses 1, Atletico CP 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.97 on 1, 3.30 on X, 3.80 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: CF Os Belenenses win (1.97 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.25 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.80 odds). Best tip, with a 66% chance: CF Os Belenenses win (1.97 odds) — Won.
FT
Os Belenenses1
Atletico CP0
✓ 1
▴1.9766%
Lusitano Evora 1911 versus SC Covilha, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sat, 12 Sept. Lusitano Evora 1911 2, SC Covilha 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.75 on 1, 3.35 on X, 4.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Lusitano Evora 1911 win (1.75 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.62 odds). Best tip, with a 85% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds) — Lost.
FT
Lusitano GC2
Covilha2
✗ U2.5
▴1.5585%
Trofense versus Leca, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sat, 12 Sept. Trofense 1, Leca 4 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.80 on 1, 3.10 on X, 2.36 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Leca win (2.36 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.61 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.83 odds). Best tip, with a 74% chance: Away side avoids defeat (1.36 odds) — Won.
FT
Trofense1
Leca4
✓ X2
1.3674%
Louletano versus Uniao S, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sat, 12 Sept. Louletano 1, Uniao S 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.27 on 1, 3.10 on X, 3.20 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Louletano win (2.27 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.66 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.87 odds). Best tip, with a 83% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.31 odds) — Lost.
FT
Louletano1
Santarem2
✗ 1X
▾1.3183%
AD Marco 09 versus Guimaraes B, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sat, 12 Sept. AD Marco 09 1, Guimaraes B 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.48 on 1, 3.15 on X, 3.05 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: AD Marco 09 win (2.48 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.65 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.83 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.65 odds) — Won.
FT
AD Marco 091
Guimaraes B0
✓ U2.5
1.6575%
Varzim versus Vianense, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sat, 12 Sept. Varzim 1, Vianense 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.65 on 1, 3.70 on X, 4.80 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Varzim win (1.65 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.31 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.91 odds). Best tip, with a 70% chance: Varzim win (1.65 odds) — Lost.
FT
Varzim1
Vianense2
✗ 1
▾1.6570%
Oliveirense versus Mafra, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sat, 12 Sept. Oliveirense 2, Mafra 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.00 on 1, 3.15 on X, 2.35 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (1.39 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.66 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.83 odds). Best tip, with a 63% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.66 odds) — Lost.
FT
Oliveirense2
Mafra1
✗ U2.5
1.6663%
Sao Joao Ver versus AD Marco 09, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sun, 6 Sept. Sao Joao Ver 0, AD Marco 09 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.62 on 1, 2.95 on X, 2.85 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: AD Marco 09 win (2.85 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.53 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.75 odds). Best tip, with a 73% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.53 odds) — Won.
FT
Sao Joao Ver0
AD Marco 090
✓ U2.5
▾1.5373%
Louletano versus Lusitano E, Liga 3 (Portugal), Sun, 6 Sept. Louletano 1, Lusitano E 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.15 on 1, 2.90 on X, 2.50 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (2.90 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.50 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (2.15 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.50 odds) — Won.
FT
Louletano1
Lusitano GC0
✓ U2.5
▾1.5072%

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Questions and answers

Are any Liga 3 picks free?

Yes. A share of the Liga 3 tips is free each matchday, while BananaGoal Premium unlocks the remaining upcoming picks, the complete AI Bet Builder and full odds.

What is your hit rate on Liga 3?

The full Liga 3 history is public, losses included, so the hit rate is there for you to judge before you spend anything.

What will I find on the Liga 3 page?

Model picks for the next Liga 3 fixtures with their chances, the current standings, recently graded results and a season breakdown covering home/draw/away shares, over/under and BTTS rates. This season in Portugal Liga 3: over 2.5 goals in 57% of games, 20% draws, 37% away wins.

What goes into your Liga 3 predictions?

Our machine-learning model combines form, xG, injuries and past meetings, then publishes only its strongest Liga 3 calls.

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