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Vitoria SC vs Moreirense prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitoria SC €52.10m
Full time 1 : 1
Moreirense €24.85m
1 1.55
X 4.35
2 6.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.39 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Vitoria SC 57%@1.55
Draw 26%@4.35
Moreirense 17%@6.60
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 17%@6.79
Under 3.5 83%@1.39
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@2.00
No 45%@1.83
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@3.05
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Vitoria SCModelMoreirense
1.86xG0.79
58%Ball possession42%
22Shots6
5Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls0
14Fouls made13
Vitoria SCRealMoreirense
1.01xG0.52
66%Ball possession34%
14Shots7
5Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks0
1Offside calls0
10Fouls made12
Vitoria SCReal · ModelMoreirense
1.011.86xG0.520.79
66%58%Ball possession34%42%
1422Shots76
55Shots on goal33
36Corner kicks03
11Offside calls00
1014Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Vitoria SCPer gameMoreirense
1.2Goals for / game1.3
0.9Goals against / game1.9
54%Ball possession36%
19.7Shots per game7.5
6.2Corners per game2.5
1.84Expected goals0.70

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Vitoria SCRateMoreirense
40%Wins30%
60%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.580%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Vitoria SC LDLWL
L 12 Sept Academico Viseu Vitoria SC 2 1 3.90 2.12
D 6 Sept Vitoria SC Casa Pia 0 0 1.50 8.25
L 31 Aug Braga Vitoria SC 1 0 1.92 4.70
W 23 Aug Vitória SC Nacional 1 0 1.68 5.70
L 14 Aug Sporting CP Vitória SC 3 2 1.44 9.00
L 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Vitória SC Chaves 2 0 1.58 4.50
D 26 Jul Vitória SC Nottingham 1 1 4.45 1.65
W 24 Jul Al Ahli SC Vitória SC 1 3 – –
D 23 Jul Rio Ave Vitória SC 0 0 – –
Moreirense WLLWL
W 14 Sept Moreirense Maritimo 3 1 2.82 2.80
L 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
L 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 30 Aug Casa Pia Moreirense 0 1 2.67 2.92
L 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
D 9 Aug Moreirense Braga 2 2 6.30 1.60
W 1 Aug Moreirense Amarante 2 0 1.84 4.35
D 25 Jul GIL Vicente Moreirense 2 2 – –
L 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
D 18 Jul Moreirense AVS 2 2 – –

Past meetings

Vitoria SC
3·1·1
Moreirense
  • Jan 2026 Vitória SC 1 - 0 Moreirense
  • Aug 2025 Moreirense 2 - 0 Vitória SC
  • Mar 2025 Moreirense 2 - 2 Vitória SC
  • Nov 2024 Vitória SC 1 - 0 Moreirense
  • Mar 2024 Vitória SC 1 - 0 Moreirense

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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