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Venados vs Tapatio prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Venados €7.60m
Full time 3 : 2
Tapatio €6.07m
1 1.81
X 3.60
2 4.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
82%Chance
One side or both fail to score No BTTS Odds @2.18 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Venados 60%@1.81
Draw 21%@3.60
Tapatio 19%@4.10
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@4.04
Under 3.5 74%@1.42
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 24%@1.65
No 76%@2.18
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 83%@1.43
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

VenadosModelTapatio
53%Ball possession47%
18Shots11
8Shots on goal3
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
VenadosRealTapatio
43%Ball possession57%
16Shots8
9Shots on goal3
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
VenadosReal · ModelTapatio
43%53%Ball possession57%47%
1618Shots811
98Shots on goal33
87Corner kicks34
22Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

VenadosPer gameTapatio
1.4Goals for / game1.2
1.3Goals against / game1.4
52%Ball possession50%
9.8Shots per game12.2
4.3Corners per game4.6

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

VenadosRateTapatio
30%Wins30%
90%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Venados WWLWL
W 3 Oct CA La Paz Venados 1 2 1.55 4.55
W 27 Sept Venados Monarcas 2 1 2.72 2.47
L 19 Sept Piratas Venados 2 1 1.62 4.50
W 13 Sept Venados Tepatitlan 5 0 1.45 5.80
L 6 Sept CDS T Venados 4 3 1.95 4.10
L 29 Aug Tlaxcala Venados 3 1 2.35 2.85
W 21 Aug Venados Dorados 4 2 1.73 4.40
L 15 Aug Mineros Z Venados 5 1 2.25 3.10
D 1 Aug Cruz A Venados 1 1 2.55 2.65
W 26 Jul Venados Alebrijes 3 0 1.88 4.00
Tapatio LWLLD
L 4 Oct Cancun Tapatio 1 0 1.78 4.60
W 21 Sept Tapatio Tlaxcala 4 0 2.02 3.50
L 13 Sept Dorados Tapatio 3 1 2.43 2.67
L 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 28 Aug Alebrijes Tapatio 1 1 3.15 2.74
W 24 Aug Tapatio Mineros Z 4 2 2.10 3.25
W 15 Aug Correcaminos Tapatio 2 3 1.88 3.95
W 2 Aug Tapatio CDS T 1 0 2.37 2.85
D 27 Jul Tapatio Cruz A 0 0 2.47 2.82
L 3 Jul Leon Tapatio 4 2 – –

Past meetings

Venados
2·1·2
Tapatio
  • Jan 2026 Tapatio 4 - 2 Venados
  • Aug 2025 Venados 1 - 3 Tapatio
  • Mar 2025 Venados 4 - 2 Tapatio
  • Sept 2024 Tapatio 2 - 2 Venados
  • Jan 2024 Tapatio 0 - 2 Venados

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8
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