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Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Mexico Liga de Expansión MX AI predictions

Follow Liga de Expansión MX with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

63%
Hit rate
20 Matches studied
82% Average chance
16 Clubs covered

20 Mexico Liga de Expansión MX games into the season, the numbers read like this: 63% home wins, 53% with both teams scoring and 3.11 goals per match on average. New Liga de Expansión MX picks below are recorded before kickoff and graded in public afterwards. Leones Negros sit top on 24 points after 12 matches.

Playing at home matters in Mexico Liga de Expansión MX, where home teams have won 63% of games. The top two in Mexico Liga de Expansión MX are close together on 24 and 23 points.

Liga de Expansión MX season in numbers

Home wins 63% Draws 16% Away wins 21%
58%Over 2.5 goals
53%Both sides scored
3.11Average goals

Next Liga de Expansión MX fixtures, with picks

Alebrijes de Oaxaca versus Correcaminos U, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Fri, 9 Oct at 02:00. Bookmaker odds: 2.57 on 1, 3.45 on X, 2.70 on 2. BananaGoal gives its best tip on this match a 68% chance; members can see which pick it is.
02:00
Alebrijes
Correcaminos
?
?68%

Liga de Expansión MX results, graded

Leones Negros UDG versus Dorados, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sun, 4 Oct. Leones Negros UDG 6, Dorados 3 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.70 on 1, 4.00 on X, 5.00 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.28 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.35 odds). Best tip, with a 85% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.55 odds) — Won.
FT
Leones Negros6
Dorados3
✓ O2.5
▾1.5585%
Piratas versus Alebrijes de Oaxaca, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sun, 4 Oct. Piratas 4, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.36 on 1, 5.35 on X, 9.25 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Piratas win (1.36 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.40 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.75 odds). Best tip, with a 86% chance: Piratas win (1.36 odds) — Won.
FT
Piratas4
Alebrijes0
✓ 1
1.3686%
Cancun versus Tapatio, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sun, 4 Oct. Cancun 1, Tapatio 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.78 on 1, 3.75 on X, 4.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Cancun win (1.78 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.67 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.63 odds). Best tip, with a 83% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.67 odds) — Lost.
FT
Cancun1
Tapatio0
✗ O2.5
▾1.6783%
Monarcas versus Tlaxcala, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sun, 4 Oct. Monarcas 1, Tlaxcala 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.52 on 1, 4.35 on X, 5.25 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.47 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.53 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.16 odds). Best tip, with a 71% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.53 odds) — Lost.
FT
Monarcas1
Tlaxcala1
✗ O2.5
▾1.5371%
Durango versus Mineros de Zacatecas, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sun, 4 Oct. Durango 4, Mineros de Zacatecas 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.10 on 1, 3.45 on X, 3.65 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Durango win (2.10 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.29 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.73 odds). Best tip, with a 68% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.30 odds) — Won.
FT
Durango4
Mineros Z2
✓ 1X
▴1.3068%
CA La Paz versus Venados FC, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sat, 3 Oct. CA La Paz 1, Venados FC 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.55 on 1, 4.55 on X, 4.55 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: CA La Paz win (1.55 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.30 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.37 odds). Best tip, with a 89% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.30 odds) — Won.
FT
CA La Paz1
Venados2
✓ O2.5
▾1.3089%
Tepatitlan versus CDS Tampico Madero, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sat, 3 Oct. Tepatitlan 3, CDS Tampico Madero 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 5.20 on 1, 4.45 on X, 1.50 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (2.55 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.50 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.63 odds). Best tip, with a 70% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.50 odds) — Won.
FT
Tepatitlan3
CDS T1
✓ O2.5
▾1.5070%
Correcaminos Uat versus Cruz Azul Hidalgo, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sat, 3 Oct. Correcaminos Uat 0, Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.80 on 1, 3.95 on X, 4.40 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Correcaminos Uat win (1.80 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.54 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Correcaminos Uat win (1.80 odds) — Lost.
FT
Correcaminos0
Cruz A0
✗ 1
1.8088%
Dorados versus Durango, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sun, 27 Sept. Dorados 0, Durango 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.70 on 1, 3.45 on X, 2.65 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Dorados win (2.35 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.25 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.12 odds). Best tip, with a 91% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.40 odds) — Lost.
FT
Dorados0
Durango1
✗ 1X
1.4091%
Venados FC versus Monarcas, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sun, 27 Sept. Venados FC 2, Monarcas 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.72 on 1, 3.50 on X, 2.47 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Monarcas win (2.47 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.54 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.48 odds). Best tip, with a 74% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.54 odds) — Won.
FT
Venados2
Monarcas1
✓ O2.5
1.5474%
Tlaxcala versus Cancun, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sat, 26 Sept. Tlaxcala 4, Cancun 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.38 on 1, 3.40 on X, 3.05 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.40 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.78 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.65 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.78 odds) — Won.
FT
Tlaxcala4
Cancun1
✓ O2.5
1.7878%
Correcaminos Uat versus CDS Tampico Madero, Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico), Sat, 26 Sept. Correcaminos Uat 1, CDS Tampico Madero 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.25 on 1, 3.45 on X, 3.00 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Correcaminos Uat win (2.25 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.73 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.32 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.35 odds) — Won.
FT
Correcaminos1
CDS T0
✓ 1X
1.3588%

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Liga de Expansión MX teams

Monarcas Correcaminos Cancún Tlaxcala CA La Paz CDS T Alebrijes Dorados Leones Negros Tepatitlán Durango Venados Tapatío Mineros Z Cruz A Piratas

Explore more competitions

Liga MX Femenil Primera Premier Liga MX Liga MX U21 Liga Premier Serie B Liga Premier Serie A

Questions and answers

Are any Liga de Expansión MX picks free?

Yes. A share of the Liga de Expansión MX tips is free each matchday, while BananaGoal Premium unlocks the remaining upcoming picks, the complete AI Bet Builder and full odds.

What is your hit rate on Liga de Expansión MX?

The full Liga de Expansión MX history is public, losses included, so the hit rate is there for you to judge before you spend anything.

What will I find on the Liga de Expansión MX page?

Model picks for the next Liga de Expansión MX fixtures with their chances, the current standings, recently graded results and a season breakdown covering home/draw/away shares, over/under and BTTS rates. This season in Mexico Liga de Expansión MX: over 2.5 goals in 58% of games, 16% draws, 21% away wins.

What goes into your Liga de Expansión MX predictions?

Our machine-learning model combines form, xG, injuries and past meetings, then publishes only its strongest Liga de Expansión MX calls.

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