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UPDF vs Maroons prediction — Premier League

Premier League · Uganda
1 2.22
X 3.00
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
62%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.52 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
UPDF 25%@2.22
Draw 18%@3.00
Maroons 57%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 38%@2.48
Under 2.5 62%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@2.12
No 44%@1.64
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 55%@1.62
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

UPDFModelMaroons
53%Ball possession47%
7Shots8
3Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks3
0Offside calls2
0Fouls made18
UPDFRealMaroons
45%Ball possession55%
6Shots5
3Shots on goal3
8Corner kicks4
2Offside calls5
16Fouls made10
UPDFReal · ModelMaroons
45%53%Ball possession55%47%
67Shots58
33Shots on goal33
84Corner kicks43
20Offside calls52
160Fouls made1018

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

UPDFPer gameMaroons
0.8Goals for / game1.3
1.2Goals against / game1.6
47%Ball possession45%
6.4Shots per game6.9
3.1Corners per game2.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

UPDFRateMaroons
10%Wins30%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.580%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

UPDF DLDLD
D 10 Sept Police UPDF 0 0 1.75 4.75
L 1 Sept Entebbe UPPC UPDF 2 1 1.65 5.10
D 29 Aug UPDF Kataka 0 0 – –
L 23 May Villa UPDF 2 1 – –
D 19 May UPDF Calvary 0 0 1.50 6.75
L 13 May UPDF KCCA 1 2 6.00 1.57
L 7 May Entebbe UPPC UPDF 2 0 – –
L 29 Apr Police UPDF 2 0 1.88 4.00
D 24 Apr UPDF URA 0 0 2.62 2.85
W 21 Apr BUL UPDF 2 5 1.62 6.75
Maroons LWLWL
L 8 Sept Maroons Blacks Power 1 2 2.00 3.70
W 2 Sept Ntugasaze Maroons 1 3 2.32 3.00
L 30 Aug Maroons URA 1 2 2.05 3.80
W 23 May Lugazi Maroons 0 1 – –
L 19 May Maroons Vipers 0 3 6.40 1.63
D 12 May Maroons Entebbe UPPC 0 0 – –
L 7 May KCCA Maroons 3 0 1.45 7.50
D 28 Apr URA Maroons 2 2 1.85 4.55
W 25 Apr Maroons Police 3 1 2.35 3.05
D 21 Apr Mbarara City Maroons 2 2 – –

Past meetings

UPDF
1·1·2
Maroons
  • Mar 2026 Maroons 0 - 0 UPDF
  • Oct 2025 UPDF 1 - 2 Maroons
  • Apr 2025 UPDF 2 - 1 Maroons
  • Jan 2024 Maroons 4 - 2 UPDF

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 BUL 6 +8 14
2 NEC 6 +7 12
3 Villa 6 +6 12
4 Blacks Power 6 +2 11
5 Police 6 +2 9
6 Entebbe UPPC 6 +1 9
7 Lugazi 6 -2 8
8 UPDF 6 0 7
9 Express 6 -1 6
10 KCCA 6 -3 6
11 Vipers 4 +2 5
12 Maroons 6 -1 5
13 URA 5 -3 5
14 Kitara 4 0 4
15 Mbarara City 5 -1 4
16 Kataka 5 -4 3
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 5 -4 3
18 Ntugasaze 6 -9 2