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Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Uganda Premier League AI predictions

Follow Premier League with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

75%
Hit rate
12 Matches studied
75% Average chance
12 Clubs covered

12 Uganda Premier League games into the season, the numbers read like this: 50% home wins, 33% with both teams scoring and 1.83 goals per match on average. New Premier League picks below are recorded before kickoff and graded in public afterwards. BUL sit top on 14 points after 6 matches.

Uganda Premier League is low-scoring this season: only 25% of games pass 2.5 goals, averaging 1.83 per match. Draws are common in Uganda Premier League: 33% of this season's games have finished all square.

Premier League season in numbers

Home wins 50% Draws 33% Away wins 17%
25%Over 2.5 goals
33%Both sides scored
1.83Average goals

Next Premier League fixtures, with picks

The upcoming Premier League fixtures don't have picks yet — please look in again soon.

Premier League results, graded

Express versus Kitara, Premier League (Uganda), Thu, 17 Sept. Express 1, Kitara 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.00 on 1, 3.05 on X, 2.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (1.25 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.42 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.60 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.42 odds) — Won.
FT
Express1
Kitara1
✓ U2.5
▴1.4278%
UPDF versus Maroons, Premier League (Uganda), Thu, 17 Sept. UPDF 1, Maroons 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.22 on 1, 3.00 on X, 3.30 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (1.28 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.52 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (2.12 odds). Best tip, with a 62% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.52 odds) — Won.
FT
UPDF1
Maroons0
✓ U2.5
▾1.5262%
Mbarara City versus Entebbe UPPC, Premier League (Uganda), Wed, 16 Sept. Mbarara City 0, Entebbe UPPC 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.85 on 1, 2.82 on X, 2.52 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Mbarara City win (2.85 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.40 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.61 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.40 odds) — Won.
FT
Mbarara City0
Entebbe UPPC0
✓ U2.5
1.4078%
Lugazi versus Police, Premier League (Uganda), Wed, 16 Sept. Lugazi 0, Police 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.92 on 1, 2.90 on X, 2.42 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Police win (2.42 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.50 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.72 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: One side or both fail to score (1.72 odds) — Won.
FT
Lugazi0
Police2
✓ No BTTS
▴1.7275%
NEC versus URA, Premier League (Uganda), Tue, 15 Sept. NEC 4, URA 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.02 on 1, 3.00 on X, 4.00 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: NEC win (2.02 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.47 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.64 odds). Best tip, with a 83% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.47 odds) — Lost.
FT
NEC4
URA1
✗ U2.5
▾1.4783%
Mbarara City versus NEC, Premier League (Uganda), Fri, 11 Sept. Mbarara City 0, NEC 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.35 on 1, 3.15 on X, 1.85 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: NEC win (1.85 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.48 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.59 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: One side or both fail to score (1.59 odds) — Won.
FT
Mbarara City0
NEC0
✓ No BTTS
▴1.5975%
Police versus UPDF, Premier League (Uganda), Thu, 10 Sept. Police 0, UPDF 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.75 on 1, 3.40 on X, 4.75 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Police win (1.75 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.76 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.82 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.76 odds) — Won.
FT
Police0
UPDF0
✓ U2.5
▴1.7672%
SC Villa versus Express, Premier League (Uganda), Wed, 9 Sept. SC Villa 2, Express 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.50 on 1, 3.65 on X, 6.40 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: SC Villa win (1.50 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.54 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.49 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.54 odds) — Won.
FT
Villa2
Express0
✓ U2.5
1.5478%
URA versus SC Villa, Premier League (Uganda), Fri, 4 Sept. URA 0, SC Villa 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.95 on 1, 2.75 on X, 2.52 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (2.75 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.39 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (2.15 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.39 odds) — Won.
FT
URA0
Villa1
✓ U2.5
▾1.3972%
Express versus KCCA, Premier League (Uganda), Thu, 3 Sept. Express 2, KCCA 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.10 on 1, 3.00 on X, 1.92 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: KCCA win (1.92 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.50 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.59 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.50 odds) — Won.
FT
Express2
KCCA0
✓ U2.5
▾1.5078%
NEC versus Lugazi, Premier League (Uganda), Tue, 1 Sept. NEC 3, Lugazi 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.62 on 1, 3.60 on X, 5.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.18 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.53 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.45 odds). Best tip, with a 75% chance: One side or both fail to score (1.45 odds) — Lost.
FT
NEC3
Lugazi1
✗ No BTTS
▴1.4575%
Entebbe UPPC versus UPDF, Premier League (Uganda), Tue, 1 Sept. Entebbe UPPC 2, UPDF 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.65 on 1, 3.30 on X, 5.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Entebbe UPPC win (1.65 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.51 odds). Best tip, with a 77% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds) — Lost.
FT
Entebbe UPPC2
UPDF1
✗ U2.5
1.5577%

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Premier League teams

Express UPDF NEC Lugazi Entebbe UPPC Mbarara City Villa URA Police Kitara KCCA Maroons

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Questions and answers

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Model picks for the next Premier League fixtures with their chances, the current standings, recently graded results and a season breakdown covering home/draw/away shares, over/under and BTTS rates. This season in Uganda Premier League: over 2.5 goals in 25% of games, 33% draws, 17% away wins.

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Our machine-learning model combines form, xG, injuries and past meetings, then publishes only its strongest Premier League calls.

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