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Tapatio vs Leones Negros prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Tapatio €6.72m
Full time 1 : 3
Leones Negros €5.20m
1 2.45
X 3.40
2 3.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
79%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.25 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tapatio 31%@2.45
Draw 43%@3.40
Leones Negros 26%@3.00
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 79%@1.25
Under 1.5 21%@4.70
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.65
No 44%@2.15
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.53
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

TapatioModelLeones Negros
49%Ball possession51%
11Shots9
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
TapatioRealLeones Negros
47%Ball possession53%
14Shots17
4Shots on goal6
1Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
TapatioReal · ModelLeones Negros
47%49%Ball possession53%51%
1411Shots179
44Shots on goal64
14Corner kicks43
12Yellow cards23

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

TapatioPer gameLeones Negros
1.5Goals for / game1.9
1.7Goals against / game1.2
49%Ball possession48%
11.2Shots per game11.9
5.8Corners per game3.8

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

TapatioRateLeones Negros
30%Wins50%
70%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tapatio LWLDW
L 4 Oct Cancun Tapatio 1 0 1.78 4.60
W 21 Sept Tapatio Tlaxcala 4 0 2.02 3.50
L 13 Sept Dorados Tapatio 3 1 2.43 2.67
D 28 Aug Alebrijes Tapatio 1 1 3.15 2.74
W 24 Aug Tapatio Mineros Z 4 2 2.10 3.25
W 15 Aug Correcaminos Tapatio 2 3 1.88 3.95
L 9 Aug Venados Tapatio 3 2 1.81 4.10
W 2 Aug Tapatio CDS T 1 0 2.37 2.85
D 27 Jul Tapatio Cruz A 0 0 2.47 2.82
L 3 Jul Leon Tapatio 4 2 – –
Leones Negros WWLDD
W 4 Oct Leones Negros Dorados 6 3 1.70 5.00
W 26 Sept Cruz A Leones Negros 1 2 2.55 2.65
L 20 Sept Monarcas Leones Negros 2 0 1.75 4.20
D 13 Sept Leones Negros CA La Paz 2 2 2.22 2.95
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
W 23 Aug Durango Leones Negros 1 2 2.20 3.10
W 16 Aug Leones Negros CDS T 4 0 2.27 3.05
L 7 Aug Leones Negros Correcaminos 1 3 1.95 3.60
W 2 Aug Cancun Leones Negros 0 2 1.95 3.90
W 25 Jul Tlaxcala Leones Negros 2 4 1.84 4.30

Past meetings

Tapatio
3·2·1
Leones Negros
  • Jan 2026 Tapatio 2 - 0 Leones Negros
  • Aug 2025 Leones Negros 1 - 1 Tapatio
  • Jun 2025 Leones Negros 1 - 2 Tapatio
  • Jun 2025 Tapatio 1 - 0 Leones Negros
  • Jan 2025 Tapatio 2 - 3 Leones Negros
  • Nov 2024 Tapatio 2 - 2 Leones Negros

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8
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