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Tampa Bay vs Rhode Island prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Tampa Bay €4.50m
Full time 2 : 0
Rhode Island €3.88m
1 1.92
X 3.70
2 3.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.37 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tampa Bay 28%@1.92
Draw 15%@3.70
Rhode Island 57%@3.80
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 24%@4.34
Under 3.5 76%@1.37
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.75
No 40%@2.05
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.48
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Tampa BayModelRhode Island
1.91xG0.93
51%Ball possession49%
17Shots13
7Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made15
Tampa BayRealRhode Island
2.13xG0.22
45%Ball possession55%
18Shots6
6Shots on goal3
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls4
6Fouls made14
Tampa BayReal · ModelRhode Island
2.131.91xG0.220.93
45%51%Ball possession55%49%
1817Shots613
67Shots on goal36
85Corner kicks35
22Yellow cards23
01Offside calls41
615Fouls made1415

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Tampa BayPer gameRhode Island
1.9Goals for / game1.4
1.4Goals against / game0.7
51%Ball possession49%
15.6Shots per game17.1
4.9Corners per game6.3
1.82Expected goals1.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Tampa BayRateRhode Island
50%Wins50%
80%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tampa Bay LDWLW
L 4 Oct Tampa Bay Miami FC 1 2 1.41 6.80
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
W 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
L 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
L 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30
Rhode Island WWLLW
W 4 Oct Brooklyn Rhode Island 1 3 3.95 1.76
W 1 Oct Rhode Island Indy Eleven 1 0 1.87 3.80
L 27 Sept Charleston Rhode Island 2 0 2.12 3.25
L 20 Sept Rhode Island Miami FC 1 2 1.45 6.10
W 13 Sept Sporting JAX Rhode Island 0 3 5.00 1.58
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
L 30 Aug FC Tulsa Rhode Island 1 0 2.75 2.57
W 23 Aug Rhode Island Monterey Bay 3 1 1.43 6.90
W 9 Aug Rhode Island Colorado 2 0 2.05 3.45
L 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15

Past meetings

Tampa Bay
0·1·3
Rhode Island
  • May 2026 Rhode Island 1 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Oct 2025 Rhode Island 5 - 0 Tampa Bay
  • May 2025 Tampa Bay 0 - 3 Rhode Island
  • Oct 2024 Rhode Island 3 - 1 Tampa Bay

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
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