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Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

USA USL Championship AI predictions

Follow USL Championship with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

80%
Hit rate
50 Matches studied
78% Average chance
25 Clubs covered

50 USA USL Championship games into the season, the numbers read like this: 44% home wins, 50% with both teams scoring and 2.74 goals per match on average. New USL Championship picks below are recorded before kickoff and graded in public afterwards. Tampa Bay sit top on 52 points after 27 matches.

Next USL Championship fixtures, with picks

The upcoming USL Championship fixtures don't have picks yet — please look in again soon.

USL Championship results, graded

New Mexico United versus Phoenix Rising, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. New Mexico United 2, Phoenix Rising 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.32 on 1, 3.55 on X, 2.80 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: New Mexico United win (2.32 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.50 odds). Best tip, with a 85% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.50 odds) — Won.
FT
New Mexico2
Phoenix Rising1
✓ 1X
▴1.5085%
Las Vegas Lights versus San Antonio, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. Las Vegas Lights 1, San Antonio 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.60 on 1, 3.35 on X, 2.55 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Las Vegas Lights win (2.60 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.28 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.67 odds). Best tip, with a 64% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.53 odds) — Won.
FT
Las V1
San Antonio0
✓ 1X
▴1.5364%
Orange County SC versus Monterey Bay, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. Orange County SC 1, Monterey Bay 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.02 on 1, 3.55 on X, 3.40 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.55 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.45 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.25 odds). Best tip, with a 62% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.45 odds) — Won.
FT
Orange C1
Monterey Bay2
✓ U3.5
▴1.4562%
Colorado Springs versus Oakland Roots, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. Colorado Springs 0, Oakland Roots 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.76 on 1, 3.80 on X, 4.50 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Colorado Springs win (1.76 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.45 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.66 odds). Best tip, with a 89% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.45 odds) — Won.
FT
Colorado 0
Oakland Roots0
✓ U3.5
1.4589%
FC Tulsa versus Sacramento Republic, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. FC Tulsa 1, Sacramento Republic 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.95 on 1, 3.05 on X, 2.52 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Level at full time (3.05 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.58 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.81 odds). Best tip, with a 84% chance: Under 2.5 goals (1.58 odds) — Won.
FT
FC Tulsa1
Sacrament1
✓ U2.5
▾1.5884%
Tampa Bay Rowdies versus Miami FC, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. Tampa Bay Rowdies 1, Miami FC 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.41 on 1, 4.60 on X, 6.80 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.90 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.52 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.98 odds). Best tip, with a 72% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.52 odds) — Won.
FT
Tampa Bay1
Miami FC2
✓ U3.5
▾1.5272%
Lexington versus Paso L, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. Lexington 3, Paso L 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.83 on 1, 3.65 on X, 3.90 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Lexington win (1.83 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.67 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.30 odds). Best tip, with a 76% chance: Over 2.5 goals (1.67 odds) — Won.
FT
Lexington3
El Paso1
✓ O2.5
▴1.6776%
Detroit City versus Birmingham Legion, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. Detroit City 1, Birmingham Legion 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.65 on 1, 3.90 on X, 4.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Away side avoids defeat (2.27 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.24 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.75 odds). Best tip, with a 67% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.24 odds) — Lost.
FT
Detroit1
Birmingham0
✗ O1.5
▾1.2467%
Brooklyn versus Rhode Island, USL Championship (USA), Sun, 4 Oct. Brooklyn 1, Rhode Island 3 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.95 on 1, 3.75 on X, 1.76 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Rhode Island win (1.76 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.47 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.65 odds). Best tip, with a 95% chance: Away side avoids defeat (1.24 odds) — Won.
FT
Brooklyn1
Rhode Island3
✓ X2
1.2495%
Loudoun United versus Indy Eleven, USL Championship (USA), Sat, 3 Oct. Loudoun United 1, Indy Eleven 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.25 on 1, 3.60 on X, 2.75 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Loudoun United win (2.25 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.55 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.51 odds). Best tip, with a 88% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.44 odds) — Won.
FT
Loudoun1
Indy Eleven1
✓ 1X
▴1.4488%
Sacramento Republic versus Las Vegas Lights, USL Championship (USA), Thu, 1 Oct. Sacramento Republic 3, Las Vegas Lights 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.52 on 1, 4.15 on X, 5.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Sacramento Republic win (1.52 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.27 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.82 odds). Best tip, with a 78% chance: Sacramento Republic win (1.52 odds) — Won.
FT
Sacrament3
Las V2
✓ 1
▾1.5278%
FC Tulsa versus New M, USL Championship (USA), Thu, 1 Oct. FC Tulsa 1, New M 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.01 on 1, 3.45 on X, 3.65 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: FC Tulsa win (2.01 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.24 odds); Both teams to score: No (2.12 odds). Best tip, with a 86% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.30 odds) — Won.
FT
FC Tulsa1
New Mexico0
✓ 1X
▾1.3086%

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Questions and answers

Are any USL Championship picks free?

Yes. A share of the USL Championship tips is free each matchday, while BananaGoal Premium unlocks the remaining upcoming picks, the complete AI Bet Builder and full odds.

What is your hit rate on USL Championship?

The full USL Championship history is public, losses included, so the hit rate is there for you to judge before you spend anything.

What will I find on the USL Championship page?

Model picks for the next USL Championship fixtures with their chances, the current standings, recently graded results and a season breakdown covering home/draw/away shares, over/under and BTTS rates. This season in USA USL Championship: over 2.5 goals in 54% of games, 26% draws, 30% away wins.

What goes into your USL Championship predictions?

Our machine-learning model combines form, xG, injuries and past meetings, then publishes only its strongest USL Championship calls.

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