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Tampa Bay vs Miami FC prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Tampa Bay €4.85m
Full time 1 : 2
Miami FC €96.75m
1 1.41
X 4.60
2 6.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.52 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tampa Bay 57%@1.41
Draw 26%@4.60
Miami FC 17%@6.80
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.91
Under 3.5 72%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 32%@1.77
No 68%@1.98
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@3.20
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Tampa BayModelMiami FC
1.23xG1.15
51%Ball possession49%
15Shots11
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made13
Tampa BayRealMiami FC
1.73xG1.67
60%Ball possession40%
16Shots10
6Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards0
6Offside calls1
15Fouls made13
Tampa BayReal · ModelMiami FC
1.731.23xG1.671.15
60%51%Ball possession40%49%
1615Shots1011
65Shots on goal44
76Corner kicks73
12Yellow cards03
61Offside calls12
1513Fouls made1313

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Tampa BayPer gameMiami FC
1.7Goals for / game1.5
0.8Goals against / game1.7
52%Ball possession49%
12.9Shots per game11.8
5.3Corners per game3.1
1.10Expected goals1.21

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Tampa BayRateMiami FC
50%Wins30%
60%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.570%
20%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tampa Bay DWLWD
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
W 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
L 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
L 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
W 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30
Miami FC WWWDD
W 1 Oct Miami FC Sporting JAX 4 1 1.58 5.20
W 27 Sept Indy Eleven Miami FC 0 2 1.75 4.10
W 20 Sept Rhode Island Miami FC 1 2 1.45 6.10
D 13 Sept Brooklyn Miami FC 1 1 2.02 3.40
D 6 Sept Miami FC Pittsburgh 2 2 3.30 2.15
L 25 Aug Charleston Miami FC 5 0 1.45 7.00
L 16 Aug Hartford Miami FC 2 1 1.80 3.90
L 13 Aug San Antonio Miami FC 2 1 1.85 4.15
L 9 Aug Miami FC Las V 0 1 2.38 2.85
D 2 Aug Miami FC Detroit 2 2 3.65 1.95

Past meetings

Tampa Bay
5·1·0
Miami FC
  • Jul 2026 Miami FC 2 - 3 Tampa Bay
  • May 2026 Miami FC 1 - 4 Tampa Bay
  • Jun 2025 Tampa Bay 2 - 1 Miami FC
  • Apr 2025 Tampa Bay 3 - 3 Miami FC
  • Mar 2025 Miami FC 1 - 2 Tampa Bay
  • Aug 2024 Tampa Bay 2 - 0 Miami FC

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day