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Tampa Bay vs Birmingham prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Tampa Bay €5.18m
Full time 4 : 0
Birmingham €3.28m
1 1.36
X 5.10
2 7.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @3.15 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Tampa Bay 43%@1.36
Draw 33%@5.10
Birmingham 24%@7.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 78%@1.46
Under 2.5 22%@5.18
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.70
No 57%@2.02

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Tampa BayModelBirmingham
1.40xG1.17
54%Ball possession46%
16Shots10
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
Tampa BayRealBirmingham
0.94xG1.65
45%Ball possession55%
13Shots17
6Shots on goal1
6Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls8
17Fouls made7
Tampa BayReal · ModelBirmingham
0.941.40xG1.651.17
45%54%Ball possession55%46%
1316Shots1710
65Shots on goal14
66Corner kicks74
22Yellow cards22
21Offside calls82
1713Fouls made712

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Tampa BayPer gameBirmingham
1.7Goals for / game2.0
1.1Goals against / game2.1
52%Ball possession48%
14.1Shots per game13.9
4.9Corners per game4.9
1.33Expected goals1.44

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Tampa BayRateBirmingham
50%Wins20%
70%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.580%
40%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Tampa Bay LDLWD
L 4 Oct Tampa Bay Miami FC 1 2 1.41 6.80
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
L 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
L 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
W 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30
Birmingham LWDDD
L 4 Oct Detroit Birmingham 1 0 1.65 4.60
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 13 Sept Birmingham Charleston 2 2 3.25 2.05
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
L 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40

Past meetings

Tampa Bay
2·1·2
Birmingham
  • Mar 2026 Birmingham 0 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Sept 2025 Birmingham 1 - 4 Tampa Bay
  • May 2025 Tampa Bay 2 - 2 Birmingham
  • Sept 2024 Birmingham 2 - 0 Tampa Bay
  • May 2024 Tampa Bay 0 - 1 Birmingham

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day