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Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island prediction — USL Championship

1 5.00
X 4.15
2 1.58

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
56%Chance
Rhode Island win 2 Odds @1.58 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sporting JAX 20%@5.00
Draw 24%@4.15
Rhode Island 56%@1.58
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 68%@1.62
Under 2.5 32%@3.44
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.72
No 45%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 78%@1.35
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sporting JAXModelRhode Island
0.81xG1.11
45%Ball possession55%
9Shots15
5Shots on goal7
3Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made14
Sporting JAXRealRhode Island
0.60xG2.54
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots25
5Shots on goal10
5Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards4
1Offside calls3
13Fouls made12
Sporting JAXReal · ModelRhode Island
0.600.81xG2.541.11
49%45%Ball possession51%55%
129Shots2515
55Shots on goal107
53Corner kicks76
12Yellow cards42
12Offside calls32
1312Fouls made1214

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sporting JAXPer gameRhode Island
1.3Goals for / game1.0
2.5Goals against / game0.9
43%Ball possession51%
9.4Shots per game14.3
3.1Corners per game5.8
0.94Expected goals1.07

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sporting JAXRateRhode Island
30%Wins40%
90%Over 1.560%
80%Over 2.520%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sporting JAX LLLWL
L 1 Oct Miami FC Sporting JAX 4 1 1.58 5.20
L 26 Sept Sporting JAX Loudoun 1 4 3.35 1.97
L 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
W 6 Sept Sporting JAX Lexington 3 2 3.90 1.85
L 30 Aug Brooklyn Sporting JAX 4 1 1.74 4.20
W 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Sporting JAX Indy Eleven 0 1 3.45 1.97
L 2 Aug Sacrament Sporting JAX 5 0 1.33 7.80
L 26 Jul El Paso Sporting JAX 2 0 1.50 5.80
D 19 Jul Sporting JAX Brooklyn 2 2 2.70 2.35
Rhode Island WWLLD
W 4 Oct Brooklyn Rhode Island 1 3 3.95 1.76
W 1 Oct Rhode Island Indy Eleven 1 0 1.87 3.80
L 27 Sept Charleston Rhode Island 2 0 2.12 3.25
L 20 Sept Rhode Island Miami FC 1 2 1.45 6.10
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
L 30 Aug FC Tulsa Rhode Island 1 0 2.75 2.57
W 23 Aug Rhode Island Monterey Bay 3 1 1.43 6.90
L 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
W 9 Aug Rhode Island Colorado 2 0 2.05 3.45
L 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15

Past meetings

Sporting JAX
0·1·0
Rhode Island
  • Mar 2026 Rhode Island 1 - 1 Sporting JAX

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15