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Sporting JAX vs Lexington prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Sporting JAX €3.62m
Full time 3 : 2
Lexington €3.88m
1 3.90
X 3.90
2 1.85

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
81%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sporting JAX 57%@3.90
Draw 14%@3.90
Lexington 29%@1.85
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 19%@6.61
Under 3.5 81%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.57
No 42%@2.40
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@1.42
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sporting JAXModelLexington
0.76xG1.05
50%Ball possession50%
8Shots12
4Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
Sporting JAXRealLexington
1.36xG1.65
31%Ball possession69%
16Shots19
12Shots on goal7
1Corner kicks10
1Yellow cards0
3Offside calls1
12Fouls made8
Sporting JAXReal · ModelLexington
1.360.76xG1.651.05
31%50%Ball possession69%50%
168Shots1912
124Shots on goal75
13Corner kicks106
13Yellow cards03
32Offside calls11
1212Fouls made813

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sporting JAXPer gameLexington
1.2Goals for / game1.2
2.8Goals against / game1.4
45%Ball possession47%
8.8Shots per game11.8
3.3Corners per game5.6
0.92Expected goals1.13

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sporting JAXRateLexington
20%Wins40%
90%Over 1.560%
80%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sporting JAX LLLLL
L 1 Oct Miami FC Sporting JAX 4 1 1.58 5.20
L 26 Sept Sporting JAX Loudoun 1 4 3.35 1.97
L 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
L 13 Sept Sporting JAX Rhode Island 0 3 5.00 1.58
L 30 Aug Brooklyn Sporting JAX 4 1 1.74 4.20
W 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Sporting JAX Indy Eleven 0 1 3.45 1.97
L 2 Aug Sacrament Sporting JAX 5 0 1.33 7.80
L 26 Jul El Paso Sporting JAX 2 0 1.50 5.80
D 19 Jul Sporting JAX Brooklyn 2 2 2.70 2.35
Lexington WWWWL
W 4 Oct Lexington El Paso 3 1 1.83 3.90
W 27 Sept Monterey Bay Lexington 2 3 3.30 2.15
W 20 Sept Lexington Orange C 6 0 1.53 5.60
W 13 Sept Oakland Roots Lexington 1 4 2.38 2.78
L 30 Aug Lexington Colorado 0 1 2.18 3.00
L 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
W 23 Aug Lexington Las V 2 0 1.66 4.75
L 16 Aug Sacrament Lexington 1 0 2.02 3.70
W 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
W 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day