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Sporting CP vs Nacional prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP €418.70m
Full time 2 : 0
Nacional €20.73m
1 1.15
X 9.10
2 24.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
85%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.39 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sporting CP 89%@1.15
Draw 8%@9.10
Nacional 3%@24.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 79%@1.39
Under 2.5 21%@5.23
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@2.32
No 40%@1.71
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 3:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sporting CPModelNacional
2.37xG0.85
54%Ball possession46%
16Shots10
9Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
Sporting CPRealNacional
2.16xG0.08
67%Ball possession33%
19Shots3
8Shots on goal2
12Corner kicks0
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made7
Sporting CPReal · ModelNacional
2.162.37xG0.080.85
67%54%Ball possession33%46%
1916Shots310
89Shots on goal24
126Corner kicks04
22Yellow cards12
12Offside calls21
1013Fouls made713

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sporting CPPer gameNacional
3.3Goals for / game1.3
0.9Goals against / game1.4
61%Ball possession49%
16.3Shots per game10.4
6.8Corners per game4.0
2.01Expected goals1.10

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sporting CPRateNacional
80%Wins20%
100%Over 1.580%
90%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sporting CP DDWWW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
D 13 Sept Famalicao Sporting CP 1 1 6.10 1.60
W 9 Sept Sporting CP(Por) Galatasaray(Tur) 3 1 1.70 5.10
W 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
W 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
W 14 Aug Sporting CP Vitória SC 3 2 1.44 9.00
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 31 Jul Sporting CP Nottingham 4 1 2.10 3.45
W 25 Jul Sporting CP Monaco 2 0 1.80 4.00
W 20 Jul Sporting CP Strasbourg 7 0 1.52 5.30
Nacional LLLLW
L 19 Sept Nacional Famalicao 0 4 4.40 2.00
L 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
L 23 Aug Vitória SC Nacional 1 0 1.68 5.70
W 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional 2 2 1.98 4.80
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
D 22 Jul Nacional Leganes 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Tondela Nacional 0 0 – –
D 18 Jul Nacional Leixoes 3 3 – –

Past meetings

Sporting CP
4·0·0
Nacional
  • Feb 2026 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Nacional
  • Aug 2025 Nacional 1 - 4 Sporting CP
  • Jan 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 0 Nacional
  • Aug 2024 Nacional 1 - 6 Sporting CP

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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