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Sporting CP vs Arouca prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP €378.70m
Full time 2 : 2
Arouca €26.88m
1 1.19
X 7.90
2 16.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Sporting CP scores at least 2 HS2+ Odds @1.24 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sporting CP 64%@1.19
Draw 24%@7.90
Arouca 12%@16.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.42
Under 2.5 27%@3.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@2.12
No 53%@1.77
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sporting CPModelArouca
1.94xG0.99
53%Ball possession47%
16Shots9
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made11
Sporting CPRealArouca
1.28xG2.08
54%Ball possession46%
10Shots15
3Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards5
2Offside calls0
9Fouls made17
Sporting CPReal · ModelArouca
1.281.94xG2.080.99
54%53%Ball possession46%47%
1016Shots159
36Shots on goal54
46Corner kicks23
32Yellow cards52
22Offside calls02
912Fouls made1711

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sporting CPPer gameArouca
3.1Goals for / game1.0
0.8Goals against / game0.8
58%Ball possession52%
13.1Shots per game10.3
4.6Corners per game3.0
1.91Expected goals1.13

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sporting CPRateArouca
80%Wins40%
100%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sporting CP DWWWW
D 13 Sept Famalicao Sporting CP 1 1 6.10 1.60
W 9 Sept Sporting CP(Por) Galatasaray(Tur) 3 1 1.70 5.10
W 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
W 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
W 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
W 14 Aug Sporting CP Vitória SC 3 2 1.44 9.00
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 31 Jul Sporting CP Nottingham 4 1 2.10 3.45
W 25 Jul Sporting CP Monaco 2 0 1.80 4.00
W 20 Jul Sporting CP Strasbourg 7 0 1.52 5.30
Arouca LDWLW
L 13 Sept Arouca Santa Clara 1 2 2.60 2.90
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
W 29 Aug Arouca Maritimo 2 1 2.20 3.50
L 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
W 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Lusitania FC Arouca 0 2 – –
L 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Famalicao Arouca 0 0 – –
L 11 Jul Rio Ave Arouca 2 1 – –

Past meetings

Sporting CP
4·1·0
Arouca
  • Jan 2026 Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting CP
  • Aug 2025 Sporting CP 6 - 0 Arouca
  • Feb 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 2 Arouca
  • Sept 2024 Arouca 0 - 3 Sporting CP
  • Mar 2024 Arouca 0 - 3 Sporting CP

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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