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Sporting CP vs Alverca prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP €417.50m
Full time 3 : 1
Alverca €36.17m
1 1.25
X 7.00
2 15.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.50 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Sporting CP 45%@1.25
Draw 38%@7.00
Alverca 17%@15.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.50
Under 2.5 24%@4.75
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@2.08
No 41%@1.82
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Sporting CPModelAlverca
2.35xG1.13
56%Ball possession44%
16Shots10
9Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
Sporting CPRealAlverca
2.12xG0.41
59%Ball possession41%
15Shots10
7Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
2Offside calls0
13Fouls made17
Sporting CPReal · ModelAlverca
2.122.35xG0.411.13
59%56%Ball possession41%44%
1516Shots1010
79Shots on goal34
37Corner kicks45
12Yellow cards32
22Offside calls01
1312Fouls made1711

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Sporting CPPer gameAlverca
3.5Goals for / game0.9
1.0Goals against / game0.9
60%Ball possession45%
16.3Shots per game11.2
7.0Corners per game4.8
2.34Expected goals1.26

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Sporting CPRateAlverca
80%Wins40%
100%Over 1.550%
90%Over 2.520%
70%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Sporting CP DDWWW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
D 13 Sept Famalicao Sporting CP 1 1 6.10 1.60
W 9 Sept Sporting CP(Por) Galatasaray(Tur) 3 1 1.70 5.10
W 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
W 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
W 14 Aug Sporting CP Vitória SC 3 2 1.44 9.00
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 31 Jul Sporting CP Nottingham 4 1 2.10 3.45
W 25 Jul Sporting CP Monaco 2 0 1.80 4.00
W 20 Jul Sporting CP Strasbourg 7 0 1.52 5.30
Alverca WWLDD
W 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
W 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Alverca Braga 1 2 5.10 1.82
D 29 Aug Alverca Santa Clara 1 1 2.70 2.95
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
L 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug Alverca Sporting CP B 1 0 – –
L 25 Jul Mafra Alverca 1 0 – –
W 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 17 Jul Alverca Os Belenenses 2 1 – –

Past meetings

Sporting CP
3·0·0
Alverca
  • Mar 2026 Alverca 1 - 4 Sporting CP
  • Oct 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 0 Alverca
  • Oct 2025 Sporting CP 5 - 1 Alverca

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day