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Spartak Varna vs Lok. Plovdiv prediction — First League

First League · Bulgaria
Spartak Varna €5.36m
Full time 1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv €9.51m
1 3.00
X 3.25
2 2.42

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.29 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Spartak Varna 22%@3.00
Draw 21%@3.25
Lok. Plovdiv 57%@2.42
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.49
Under 3.5 73%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.75
No 41%@2.00
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.80
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Spartak VarnaModelLok. Plovdiv
53%Ball possession47%
10Shots11
4Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
Spartak VarnaRealLok. Plovdiv
44%Ball possession56%
6Shots8
2Shots on goal1
1Corner kicks4
4Yellow cards6
1Offside calls2
16Fouls made18
Spartak VarnaReal · ModelLok. Plovdiv
44%53%Ball possession56%47%
610Shots811
24Shots on goal15
14Corner kicks44
42Yellow cards62
11Offside calls22
1610Fouls made1812

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Spartak VarnaPer gameLok. Plovdiv
2.0Goals for / game1.1
0.9Goals against / game1.0
50%Ball possession41%
12.7Shots per game9.4
5.5Corners per game3.8

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Spartak VarnaRateLok. Plovdiv
50%Wins50%
70%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Spartak Varna LDDDL
L 20 Sept Spartak Varna Lok. Sofia 0 1 2.70 2.55
D 13 Sept Slavia Sofia Spartak Varna 0 0 2.16 3.65
D 5 Sept Spartak Varna CSKA Sofia 1 1 6.50 1.50
D 30 Aug Spartak Varna Ludogorets 1 1 6.10 1.52
L 22 Aug Levski Sofia Spartak Varna 6 0 1.32 12.00
L 17 Aug Spartak Varna Septemvri Sofia 0 1 2.07 3.70
L 10 Aug Botev Plovdiv Spartak Varna 3 2 1.62 5.60
W 26 Jul Cherno More Spartak Varna 0 3 1.78 4.90
D 17 Jul Spartak Varna CSKA 1948 2 2 5.80 1.63
W 11 Jul Spartak Varna Dobrudzha 7 3 2.15 2.92
Lok. Plovdiv WDLWL
W 2 Oct Lok. Plovdiv(Bul) Arda (Bul)(Bul) 2 0 3.00 2.40
D 20 Sept Lok. Plovdiv CSKA Sofia 1 1 7.00 1.53
L 13 Sept Botev Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv 2 0 1.85 4.60
W 6 Sept Lok. Plovdiv Cherno More 1 0 2.72 2.80
L 28 Aug CSKA 1948 Lok. Plovdiv 2 0 1.57 5.80
L 24 Aug Lok. Plovdiv Arda (Bul) 0 1 3.90 2.10
L 16 Aug Lok. Plovdiv Dunav Ruse 1 2 1.72 5.20
L 7 Aug Levski Sofia Lok. Plovdiv 2 0 1.40 9.50
W 26 Jul Lok. Plovdiv Septemvri Sofia 2 1 1.82 4.55
L 18 Jul Ludogorets Lok. Plovdiv 1 0 1.32 9.25

Past meetings

Spartak Varna
2·1·1
Lok. Plovdiv
  • Feb 2026 Lok. Plovdiv 1 - 1 Spartak Varna
  • Aug 2025 Spartak Varna 1 - 2 Lok. Plovdiv
  • Apr 2025 Lok. Plovdiv 1 - 2 Spartak Varna
  • Oct 2024 Spartak Varna 1 - 0 Lok. Plovdiv

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 +17 26
2 CSKA Sofia 11 +17 25
3 Ludogorets 10 +9 24
4 CSKA 1948 11 +9 23
5 Arda (Bul) 11 +3 18
6 Botev Plovdiv 11 +2 17
7 Slavia Sofia 11 +1 12
8 Spartak Varna 11 -5 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 -10 10
10 Septemvri Sofia 11 -10 9
11 Lok. Sofia 11 -7 8
12 Lok. Plovdiv 11 -8 8
13 Cherno More 11 -9 7
14 Dunav Ruse 11 -9 6
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day