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Season 2026 Updated 5 Oct 2026

Bulgaria First League AI predictions

Follow First League with daily model picks, the live standings and this season's numbers.

93%
Hit rate
14 Matches studied
78% Average chance
14 Clubs covered

Our model has studied 14 matches in Bulgaria First League so far this season. The home side has taken 29% of them, 57% have produced goals at both ends, and the average match has brought 2.43 goals. Each First League pick below is logged publicly and graded once the final whistle goes. Levski Sofia sit top on 26 points after 10 matches.

Draws are common in Bulgaria First League: 43% of this season's games have finished all square. The top two in Bulgaria First League are close together on 26 and 25 points.

First League season in numbers

Home wins 29% Draws 43% Away wins 29%
50%Over 2.5 goals
57%Both sides scored
2.43Average goals

Next First League fixtures, with picks

The upcoming First League fixtures don't have picks yet — please look in again soon.

First League results, graded

Lokomotiv Plovdiv versus CSKA Sofia, First League (Bulgaria), Sun, 20 Sept. Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1, CSKA Sofia 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 7.00 on 1, 4.00 on X, 1.53 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (2.52 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.28 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.67 odds). Best tip, with a 59% chance: Home side avoids defeat (2.52 odds) — Won.
FT
Lok. Plovdiv1
CSKA Sofia1
✓ 1X
▴2.5259%
Spartak Varna versus Lokomotiv S, First League (Bulgaria), Sun, 20 Sept. Spartak Varna 0, Lokomotiv S 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.70 on 1, 3.40 on X, 2.55 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Spartak Varna win (2.70 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.24 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.58 odds). Best tip, with a 80% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.53 odds) — Lost.
FT
Spartak Varna0
Lok. Sofia1
✗ 1X
▴1.5380%
Arda Kardzhali versus Cherno More Varna, First League (Bulgaria), Sat, 19 Sept. Arda Kardzhali 1, Cherno More Varna 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.92 on 1, 3.35 on X, 4.30 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Arda Kardzhali win (1.92 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.42 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.75 odds). Best tip, with a 80% chance: Over 1.5 goals (1.42 odds) — Won.
FT
Arda (Bul)1
Cherno More1
✓ O1.5
▴1.4280%
Septemvri Sofia versus Botev Plovdiv, First League (Bulgaria), Sat, 19 Sept. Septemvri Sofia 0, Botev Plovdiv 3 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.65 on 1, 3.50 on X, 2.10 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Botev Plovdiv win (2.10 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.29 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.85 odds). Best tip, with a 73% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.29 odds) — Won.
FT
Septemvri Sofia0
Botev Plovdiv3
✓ U3.5
▾1.2973%
Dunav Ruse versus Botev Vratsa, First League (Bulgaria), Sat, 19 Sept. Dunav Ruse 2, Botev Vratsa 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 3.15 on 1, 3.20 on X, 2.32 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Botev Vratsa win (2.32 odds); Goals line: Under 2.5 goals (1.67 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.85 odds). Best tip, with a 83% chance: Away side avoids defeat (1.37 odds) — Won.
FT
Dunav Ruse2
Botev Vratsa2
✓ X2
▾1.3783%
Slavia Sofia versus CSKA 1948, First League (Bulgaria), Fri, 18 Sept. Slavia Sofia 1, CSKA 1948 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 4.45 on 1, 3.40 on X, 1.89 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: CSKA 1948 win (1.89 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.28 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.82 odds). Best tip, with a 89% chance: Under 3.5 goals (1.28 odds) — Won.
FT
Slavia Sofia1
CSKA 19482
✓ U3.5
▴1.2889%
Lokomotiv Sofia versus CSKA Sofia, First League (Bulgaria), Wed, 16 Sept. Lokomotiv Sofia 0, CSKA Sofia 2 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 7.60 on 1, 4.80 on X, 1.41 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: CSKA Sofia win (1.41 odds); Goals line: Over 2.5 goals (1.60 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (1.80 odds). Best tip, with a 80% chance: CSKA Sofia win (1.41 odds) — Won.
FT
Lok. Sofia0
CSKA Sofia2
✓ 2
▾1.4180%
Ludogorets versus Septemvri Sofia, First League (Bulgaria), Mon, 14 Sept. Ludogorets 2, Septemvri Sofia 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.25 on 1, 6.00 on X, 12.00 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Ludogorets win (1.25 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.50 odds); Both teams to score: Yes (2.25 odds). Best tip, with a 86% chance: Ludogorets win (1.25 odds) — Won.
FT
Ludogorets2
Septemvri Sofia1
✓ 1
▴1.2586%
Botev Plovdiv versus Lokomotiv P, First League (Bulgaria), Sun, 13 Sept. Botev Plovdiv 2, Lokomotiv P 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.85 on 1, 3.55 on X, 4.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Botev Plovdiv win (1.85 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.32 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.90 odds). Best tip, with a 73% chance: Botev Plovdiv win (1.85 odds) — Won.
FT
Botev Plovdiv2
Lok. Plovdiv0
✓ 1
▴1.8573%
Botev Vratsa versus Levski Sofia, First League (Bulgaria), Sun, 13 Sept. Botev Vratsa 0, Levski Sofia 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 8.00 on 1, 4.30 on X, 1.45 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Home side avoids defeat (2.77 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.32 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.65 odds). Best tip, with a 57% chance: Home side avoids defeat (2.77 odds) — Won.
FT
Botev Vratsa0
Levski Sofia0
✓ 1X
▾2.7757%
Slavia Sofia versus Spartak Varna, First League (Bulgaria), Sun, 13 Sept. Slavia Sofia 0, Spartak Varna 0 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 2.16 on 1, 3.25 on X, 3.65 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: Slavia Sofia win (2.16 odds); Goals line: Under 3.5 goals (1.24 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.79 odds). Best tip, with a 84% chance: Home side avoids defeat (1.30 odds) — Won.
FT
Slavia Sofia0
Spartak Varna0
✓ 1X
▾1.3084%
CSKA Sofia versus Arda K, First League (Bulgaria), Sat, 12 Sept. CSKA Sofia 4, Arda K 1 at full time. Bookmaker odds: 1.74 on 1, 3.55 on X, 5.60 on 2. BananaGoal’s model — Full-time result: CSKA Sofia win (1.74 odds); Goals line: Over 1.5 goals (1.36 odds); Both teams to score: No (1.75 odds). Best tip, with a 83% chance: CSKA Sofia win (1.74 odds) — Won.
FT
CSKA Sofia4
Arda (Bul)1
✓ 1
▾1.7483%

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First League teams

CSKA Sofia Lok. Sofia CSKA 1948 Arda (Bul) Spartak Varna Botev Plovdiv Dunav Ruse Botev Vratsa Lok. Plovdiv Cherno More Slavia Sofia Septemvri Sofia Ludogorets Levski Sofia

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Questions and answers

Are any First League picks free?

Every matchday includes free First League picks. BananaGoal Premium adds all remaining upcoming picks, complete odds and the daily accumulator.

What is your hit rate on First League?

Look at the record: each First League pick gets a won or lost grade after the final whistle and is never removed, so you can measure our accuracy before subscribing.

What will I find on the First League page?

Four picks per First League match: the 1X2 outcome, over/under, BTTS and our best tip, each shown with the chance the model gives it. This season in Bulgaria First League: over 2.5 goals in 50% of games, 43% draws, 29% away wins.

What goes into your First League predictions?

Data, not opinions. Head-to-head results, injuries, recent form and expected goals go into a machine-learning model, which rates every First League match and publishes its picks automatically, with no human choosing them.

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