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Santa Clara vs Nacional prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara €33.00m
Full time 2 : 2
Nacional €22.48m
1 1.98
X 3.25
2 4.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
88%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.19 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Santa Clara 54%@1.98
Draw 27%@3.25
Nacional 19%@4.80
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 18%@5.42
Under 3.5 82%@1.19
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 34%@2.25
No 66%@1.65
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 80%@1.36
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Santa ClaraModelNacional
1.15xG0.73
49%Ball possession51%
11Shots11
4Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made15
Santa ClaraRealNacional
1.44xG1.24
51%Ball possession49%
19Shots10
7Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
15Fouls made14
Santa ClaraReal · ModelNacional
1.441.15xG1.240.73
51%49%Ball possession49%51%
1911Shots1011
74Shots on goal45
45Corner kicks44
22Yellow cards23
01Offside calls11
1514Fouls made1415

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Santa ClaraPer gameNacional
1.8Goals for / game1.1
0.6Goals against / game1.2
48%Ball possession50%
10.6Shots per game13.6
5.0Corners per game5.4
1.30Expected goals1.02

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Santa ClaraRateNacional
60%Wins30%
80%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Santa Clara DWWDW
D 20 Sept Santa Clara Braga 0 0 3.60 2.27
W 13 Sept Arouca Santa Clara 1 2 2.60 2.90
W 6 Sept Santa Clara Rio Ave 4 0 2.02 4.40
D 29 Aug Alverca Santa Clara 1 1 2.70 2.95
W 23 Aug Santa Clara Famalicao 1 0 2.82 2.90
W 15 Aug Academico Viseu Santa Clara 0 1 3.00 2.70
W 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Santa Clara Felgueiras 1 1 – –
W 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
W 18 Jul Santa Clara Paredes 2 0 – –
Nacional LLLLL
L 19 Sept Nacional Famalicao 0 4 4.40 2.00
L 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
L 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
L 23 Aug Vitória SC Nacional 1 0 1.68 5.70
W 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
D 22 Jul Nacional Leganes 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Tondela Nacional 0 0 – –
D 18 Jul Nacional Leixoes 3 3 – –

Past meetings

Santa Clara
2·1·2
Nacional
  • May 2026 Santa Clara 2 - 0 Nacional
  • Jan 2026 Nacional 3 - 3 Santa Clara
  • Mar 2025 Santa Clara 1 - 0 Nacional
  • Nov 2024 Nacional 2 - 0 Santa Clara
  • Mar 2024 Santa Clara 0 - 1 Nacional

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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