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Rio Ave vs Sporting CP prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave €35.03m
Full time 0 : 4
Sporting CP €413.50m
1 8.50
X 5.55
2 1.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Sporting CP win 2 Odds @1.40 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Rio Ave 12%@8.50
Draw 18%@5.55
Sporting CP 70%@1.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 68%@1.70
Under 2.5 32%@3.61
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@2.03
No 55%@1.80
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 2.5 63%@1.83
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Rio AveModelSporting CP
0.69xG2.40
44%Ball possession56%
9Shots16
3Shots on goal9
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
8Fouls made12
Rio AveRealSporting CP
0.50xG1.70
39%Ball possession61%
6Shots15
0Shots on goal7
2Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
7Fouls made14
Rio AveReal · ModelSporting CP
0.500.69xG1.702.40
39%44%Ball possession61%56%
69Shots1516
03Shots on goal79
24Corner kicks36
12Yellow cards12
11Offside calls02
78Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Rio AvePer gameSporting CP
1.4Goals for / game3.3
1.2Goals against / game1.0
45%Ball possession62%
9.7Shots per game16.5
4.2Corners per game7.3
0.75Expected goals1.99

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Rio AveRateSporting CP
40%Wins80%
80%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.590%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Rio Ave LDLWL
L 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
L 6 Sept Santa Clara Rio Ave 4 0 2.02 4.40
W 22 Aug Estoril Rio Ave 0 2 2.02 3.85
L 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
L 9 Aug GIL Vicente Rio Ave 1 0 2.15 3.80
W 1 Aug Rio Ave Tondela 3 1 2.27 2.77
D 23 Jul Rio Ave Vitória SC 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Rio Ave Al Ahli SC 2 2 – –
W 15 Jul Portimonense Rio Ave 0 3 – –
Sporting CP DDWWW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
D 13 Sept Famalicao Sporting CP 1 1 6.10 1.60
W 9 Sept Sporting CP(Por) Galatasaray(Tur) 3 1 1.70 5.10
W 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
W 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
W 14 Aug Sporting CP Vitória SC 3 2 1.44 9.00
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 31 Jul Sporting CP Nottingham 4 1 2.10 3.45
W 25 Jul Sporting CP Monaco 2 0 1.80 4.00
W 20 Jul Sporting CP Strasbourg 7 0 1.52 5.30

Past meetings

Rio Ave
0·0·6
Sporting CP
  • May 2026 Rio Ave 1 - 4 Sporting CP
  • Dec 2025 Sporting CP 4 - 0 Rio Ave
  • Apr 2025 Rio Ave 1 - 2 Sporting CP
  • Apr 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 0 Rio Ave
  • Jan 2025 Rio Ave 0 - 3 Sporting CP
  • Aug 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 1 Rio Ave

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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