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Rio Ave vs FC Porto prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1 8.75
X 5.00
2 1.41

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @3.10 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Rio Ave 21%@8.75
Draw 36%@5.00
FC Porto 43%@1.41
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 20%@5.68
Under 3.5 80%@1.42
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 37%@2.13
No 63%@1.71

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Rio AveModelFC Porto
1.01xG2.33
45%Ball possession55%
10Shots16
5Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks7
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made13
Rio AveRealFC Porto
0.57xG1.87
48%Ball possession52%
13Shots14
1Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks6
1Offside calls3
1Fouls made10
Rio AveReal · ModelFC Porto
0.571.01xG1.872.33
48%45%Ball possession52%55%
1310Shots1416
15Shots on goal67
64Corner kicks67
11Offside calls31
110Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Rio AvePer gameFC Porto
1.4Goals for / game1.2
1.4Goals against / game0.6
48%Ball possession57%
11.2Shots per game14.9
4.2Corners per game6.4
1.03Expected goals1.97

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Rio AveRateFC Porto
30%Wins70%
80%Over 1.550%
60%Over 2.530%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Rio Ave LDLLW
L 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
L 6 Sept Santa Clara Rio Ave 4 0 2.02 4.40
L 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
W 22 Aug Estoril Rio Ave 0 2 2.02 3.85
L 9 Aug GIL Vicente Rio Ave 1 0 2.15 3.80
W 1 Aug Rio Ave Tondela 3 1 2.27 2.77
D 23 Jul Rio Ave Vitória SC 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Rio Ave Al Ahli SC 2 2 – –
W 15 Jul Portimonense Rio Ave 0 3 – –
FC Porto WWWLW
W 2 Oct Dep. A Coruna(Esp) FC Porto(Por) 1 3 2.23 3.10
W 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 12 Sept Casa Pia FC Porto 1 4 16.00 1.22
L 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 29 Aug Academico Viseu FC Porto 0 3 10.75 1.34
W 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug FC Porto Torreense 1 0 1.22 14.50
W 25 Jul FC Porto Aston Villa 2 1 2.28 3.20

Past meetings

Rio Ave
0·2·3
FC Porto
  • Feb 2026 FC Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave
  • Sept 2025 Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Porto
  • Feb 2025 Rio Ave 2 - 2 FC Porto
  • Aug 2024 FC Porto 2 - 0 Rio Ave
  • Feb 2024 FC Porto 0 - 0 Rio Ave

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3