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Rio Ave vs Estrela prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave €42.33m
Full time 3 : 3
Estrela €26.98m
1 2.92
X 3.30
2 2.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.35 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Rio Ave 29%@2.92
Draw 26%@3.30
Estrela 45%@2.55
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.35
Under 1.5 25%@4.05
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 68%@1.80
No 32%@2.02
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.84
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Rio AveModelEstrela
0.62xG1.30
50%Ball possession50%
8Shots11
3Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
8Fouls made12
Rio AveRealEstrela
1.24xG1.85
38%Ball possession62%
11Shots20
6Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls2
16Fouls made12
Rio AveReal · ModelEstrela
1.240.62xG1.851.30
38%50%Ball possession62%50%
118Shots2011
63Shots on goal65
43Corner kicks53
22Yellow cards32
01Offside calls21
168Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Rio AvePer gameEstrela
1.3Goals for / game2.0
1.6Goals against / game1.4
45%Ball possession45%
6.5Shots per game13.0
2.5Corners per game4.2
0.50Expected goals1.47

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Rio AveRateEstrela
40%Wins50%
90%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.570%
40%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Rio Ave LLLWL
L 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
L 6 Sept Santa Clara Rio Ave 4 0 2.02 4.40
L 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
W 22 Aug Estoril Rio Ave 0 2 2.02 3.85
L 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
L 9 Aug GIL Vicente Rio Ave 1 0 2.15 3.80
W 1 Aug Rio Ave Tondela 3 1 2.27 2.77
D 23 Jul Rio Ave Vitória SC 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Rio Ave Al Ahli SC 2 2 – –
W 15 Jul Portimonense Rio Ave 0 3 – –
Estrela LWDWD
L 20 Sept Estrela Academico Viseu 0 2 2.22 3.55
W 10 Sept Estrela Braga 2 1 6.10 1.62
D 5 Sept Estrela Famalicao 2 2 3.05 2.52
W 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 1 Aug Estrela Al-Nassr 4 2 3.15 2.10
D 29 Jul Estrela Portimonense 1 1 – –
D 25 Jul Estrela Os Belenenses 0 0 – –
W 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –

Past meetings

Rio Ave
3·1·1
Estrela
  • Mar 2026 Rio Ave 2 - 1 Estrela
  • Oct 2025 Estrela 1 - 2 Rio Ave
  • May 2025 Rio Ave 2 - 0 Estrela
  • Dec 2024 Estrela 1 - 0 Rio Ave
  • Apr 2024 Estrela 2 - 2 Rio Ave

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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