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Rhode Island vs Louisville City prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Rhode Island €3.90m
Full time 1 : 1
Louisville City €4.60m
1 2.35
X 3.35
2 2.85

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.40 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Rhode Island 43%@2.35
Draw 26%@3.35
Louisville City 31%@2.85
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.60
Under 3.5 72%@1.40
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.62
No 42%@2.25
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.71
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Rhode IslandModelLouisville City
1.32xG1.19
50%Ball possession50%
16Shots12
8Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
16Fouls made12
Rhode IslandRealLouisville City
0.93xG1.20
60%Ball possession40%
14Shots9
2Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards4
0Offside calls1
11Fouls made20
Rhode IslandReal · ModelLouisville City
0.931.32xG1.201.19
60%50%Ball possession40%50%
1416Shots912
28Shots on goal26
57Corner kicks25
13Yellow cards42
02Offside calls12
1116Fouls made2012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Rhode IslandPer gameLouisville City
1.0Goals for / game1.7
0.9Goals against / game1.6
49%Ball possession48%
15.2Shots per game13.8
6.3Corners per game5.4
1.16Expected goals1.35

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Rhode IslandRateLouisville City
40%Wins40%
60%Over 1.570%
20%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Rhode Island WWLLW
W 4 Oct Brooklyn Rhode Island 1 3 3.95 1.76
W 1 Oct Rhode Island Indy Eleven 1 0 1.87 3.80
L 27 Sept Charleston Rhode Island 2 0 2.12 3.25
L 20 Sept Rhode Island Miami FC 1 2 1.45 6.10
W 13 Sept Sporting JAX Rhode Island 0 3 5.00 1.58
L 30 Aug FC Tulsa Rhode Island 1 0 2.75 2.57
W 23 Aug Rhode Island Monterey Bay 3 1 1.43 6.90
L 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
W 9 Aug Rhode Island Colorado 2 0 2.05 3.45
L 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
Louisville City WDWLD
W 4 Oct Hartford Louisville City 0 1 2.52 2.57
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
W 20 Sept Louisville City Loudoun 2 1 1.44 6.00
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
L 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
W 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75

Past meetings

Rhode Island
1·1·3
Louisville City
  • Mar 2026 Louisville City 4 - 2 Rhode Island
  • Sept 2025 Rhode Island 0 - 1 Louisville City
  • Jun 2025 Louisville City 2 - 1 Rhode Island
  • Nov 2024 Louisville City 0 - 3 Rhode Island
  • May 2024 Rhode Island 0 - 0 Louisville City

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day