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Racing M vs Penarol prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Racing M
Full time 0 : 1
Penarol €28.90m
1 3.55
X 3.15
2 2.12

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
82%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.30 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Racing M 17%@3.55
Draw 19%@3.15
Penarol 64%@2.12
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 34%@2.99
Under 2.5 66%@1.54
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.10
No 56%@1.71
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 66%@1.42
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Racing MModelPenarol
50%Ball possession50%
9Shots9
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
13Fouls made11
Racing MRealPenarol
43%Ball possession57%
5Shots13
3Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
4Yellow cards5
Racing MReal · ModelPenarol
43%50%Ball possession57%50%
59Shots139
34Shots on goal54
45Corner kicks34
42Yellow cards52

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Racing MPer gamePenarol
1.1Goals for / game1.6
1.3Goals against / game0.8
52%Ball possession51%
9.7Shots per game9.1
4.8Corners per game4.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Racing MRatePenarol
40%Wins50%
60%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Racing M LDLWL
L 26 Sept Progreso Racing M 2 1 4.00 2.00
D 21 Sept Liverpool M. Racing M 0 0 2.33 3.20
L 17 Sept Juventud Racing M 3 0 2.80 2.57
W 12 Sept Racing M Boston River 3 2 1.95 3.95
L 9 Sept Racing M Central Esp. 2 4 1.68 6.10
L 6 Sept Cerro Racing M 1 0 4.50 1.87
W 4 Sept Oriental Racing M 1 2 6.00 1.58
W 31 Aug Racing M Albion 1 0 1.79 5.00
D 23 Aug Danubio Racing M 0 0 3.25 2.28
W 15 Aug Racing M Nacional 2 0 3.75 2.33
Penarol DWDWW
D 1 Oct Torque Penarol 1 1 3.20 2.25
W 26 Sept Penarol Boston River 2 1 1.50 6.50
D 24 Sept Danubio Penarol 1 1 2.65 2.92
W 19 Sept Cerro Penarol 1 2 6.40 1.53
W 13 Sept Penarol Albion 3 1 1.42 7.60
W 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
D 3 Sept Atenas Penarol 2 2 5.50 1.67
L 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
W 27 Aug Penarol Torque 1 0 2.25 3.50
D 22 Aug Maldonado Penarol 0 0 4.20 2.02

Past meetings

Racing M
2·2·2
Penarol
  • Jul 2026 Racing M 1 - 1 Penarol
  • Mar 2026 Penarol 1 - 2 Racing M
  • Jan 2026 Penarol 1 - 0 Racing M
  • Aug 2025 Racing M 1 - 4 Penarol
  • Mar 2025 Penarol 0 - 2 Racing M
  • Oct 2024 Penarol 0 - 0 Racing M

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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