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Progreso vs Racing M prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Progreso €6.03m
Full time 2 : 1
Racing M
1 4.00
X 3.25
2 2.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
63%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.27 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Progreso 23%@4.00
Draw 28%@3.25
Racing M 49%@2.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 33%@3.27
Under 2.5 67%@1.61
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.02
No 56%@1.73
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 60%@1.40
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ProgresoModelRacing M
48%Ball possession52%
5Shots10
3Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
11Fouls made12
ProgresoRealRacing M
38%Ball possession62%
8Shots9
5Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards3
ProgresoReal · ModelRacing M
38%48%Ball possession62%52%
85Shots910
53Shots on goal34
54Corner kicks65
22Yellow cards33

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ProgresoPer gameRacing M
0.6Goals for / game1.2
1.3Goals against / game1.3
44%Ball possession51%
6.6Shots per game9.5
3.3Corners per game4.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ProgresoRateRacing M
30%Wins40%
50%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Progreso LWLLW
L 3 Oct Liverpool M. Progreso 3 2 1.68 5.40
W 19 Sept Boston River Progreso 1 2 1.95 3.85
L 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
L 13 Sept Progreso Cerro 1 3 2.55 3.20
W 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
L 3 Sept Albion Progreso 2 1 2.02 4.00
W 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
L 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
L 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 16 Aug Progreso Maldonado 0 2 3.95 1.98
Racing M LDLWL
L 4 Oct Racing M Penarol 0 1 3.55 2.12
D 21 Sept Liverpool M. Racing M 0 0 2.33 3.20
L 17 Sept Juventud Racing M 3 0 2.80 2.57
W 12 Sept Racing M Boston River 3 2 1.95 3.95
L 9 Sept Racing M Central Esp. 2 4 1.68 6.10
L 6 Sept Cerro Racing M 1 0 4.50 1.87
W 4 Sept Oriental Racing M 1 2 6.00 1.58
W 31 Aug Racing M Albion 1 0 1.79 5.00
D 23 Aug Danubio Racing M 0 0 3.25 2.28
W 15 Aug Racing M Nacional 2 0 3.75 2.33

Past meetings

Progreso
1·2·3
Racing M
  • Mar 2026 Racing M 1 - 1 Progreso
  • Sept 2025 Racing M 0 - 0 Progreso
  • Jun 2025 Racing M 3 - 0 Progreso
  • Mar 2025 Progreso 0 - 1 Racing M
  • Sept 2024 Racing M 1 - 0 Progreso
  • Jul 2024 Progreso 3 - 2 Racing M

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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