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Progreso vs Danubio prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Progreso €5.72m
Full time 1 : 0
Danubio €5.68m
1 3.00
X 3.05
2 2.43

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.57 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Progreso 28%@3.00
Draw 27%@3.05
Danubio 45%@2.43
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 11%@12.70
Under 2.5 89%@1.57
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.95
No 56%@1.78
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 57%@1.53
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ProgresoModelDanubio
44%Ball possession56%
7Shots7
3Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
ProgresoRealDanubio
50%Ball possession50%
4Shots6
3Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards4
ProgresoReal · ModelDanubio
50%44%Ball possession50%56%
47Shots67
33Shots on goal32
43Corner kicks65
33Yellow cards43

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ProgresoPer gameDanubio
0.6Goals for / game0.7
1.5Goals against / game0.9
43%Ball possession53%
7.2Shots per game6.7
4.0Corners per game5.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ProgresoRateDanubio
20%Wins10%
70%Over 1.540%
40%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Progreso LWWLL
L 3 Oct Liverpool M. Progreso 3 2 1.68 5.40
W 26 Sept Progreso Racing M 2 1 4.00 2.00
W 19 Sept Boston River Progreso 1 2 1.95 3.85
L 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
L 13 Sept Progreso Cerro 1 3 2.55 3.20
W 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
L 3 Sept Albion Progreso 2 1 2.02 4.00
L 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
L 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 16 Aug Progreso Maldonado 0 2 3.95 1.98
Danubio WLDDD
W 4 Oct Danubio Cerro Largo 2 1 2.02 3.60
L 27 Sept Defensor Sp. Danubio 1 0 2.28 3.10
D 24 Sept Danubio Penarol 1 1 2.65 2.92
D 20 Sept Danubio Wanderers 1 1 2.20 3.30
D 13 Sept Juventud Danubio 1 1 2.05 3.65
L 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
L 2 Sept Torque Danubio 2 0 2.05 3.60
W 26 Aug Danubio Atenas 3 2 1.88 4.25
D 23 Aug Danubio Racing M 0 0 3.25 2.28
D 14 Aug Boston River Danubio 0 0 2.42 3.05

Past meetings

Progreso
2·3·1
Danubio
  • May 2026 Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso
  • Feb 2026 Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso
  • Aug 2025 Progreso 1 - 0 Danubio
  • May 2025 Progreso 0 - 1 Danubio
  • Feb 2025 Danubio 1 - 1 Progreso
  • Oct 2024 Progreso 0 - 0 Danubio

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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