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Progreso vs Cerro prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Progreso €5.78m
Full time 1 : 3
Cerro €5.03m
1 2.55
X 3.00
2 3.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
89%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.52 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Progreso 32%@2.55
Draw 43%@3.00
Cerro 25%@3.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 11%@12.30
Under 2.5 89%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@2.07
No 69%@1.73
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.72
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ProgresoModelCerro
49%Ball possession51%
6Shots6
3Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
0Fouls made10
ProgresoRealCerro
62%Ball possession38%
12Shots8
5Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks0
2Yellow cards3
ProgresoReal · ModelCerro
62%49%Ball possession38%51%
126Shots86
53Shots on goal53
63Corner kicks02
22Yellow cards33

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ProgresoPer gameCerro
0.5Goals for / game1.0
1.2Goals against / game1.2
41%Ball possession42%
6.4Shots per game5.8
3.1Corners per game2.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ProgresoRateCerro
30%Wins50%
50%Over 1.570%
20%Over 2.540%
20%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Progreso LWWLW
L 3 Oct Liverpool M. Progreso 3 2 1.68 5.40
W 26 Sept Progreso Racing M 2 1 4.00 2.00
W 19 Sept Boston River Progreso 1 2 1.95 3.85
L 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
W 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
L 3 Sept Albion Progreso 2 1 2.02 4.00
W 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
L 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
L 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 16 Aug Progreso Maldonado 0 2 3.95 1.98
Cerro LDLLL
L 4 Oct Cerro Wanderers 0 2 2.75 2.52
D 27 Sept Juventud Cerro 0 0 1.74 5.20
L 24 Sept Cerro Maldonado 1 2 3.45 2.10
L 19 Sept Cerro Penarol 1 2 6.40 1.53
L 10 Sept Cerro Cerrito 0 2 2.00 3.70
W 6 Sept Cerro Racing M 1 0 4.50 1.87
D 1 Sept Wanderers Cerro 1 1 3.85 2.23
D 29 Aug Boston River Cerro 1 1 1.95 4.00
L 21 Aug Liverpool M. Cerro 4 0 1.63 5.40
W 15 Aug Cerro Albion 2 1 3.60 2.32

Past meetings

Progreso
3·1·1
Cerro
  • Mar 2026 Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso
  • Oct 2025 Progreso 2 - 0 Cerro
  • Apr 2025 Cerro 0 - 0 Progreso
  • Sept 2024 Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro
  • Mar 2024 Cerro 2 - 3 Progreso

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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