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Police vs UPDF prediction — Premier League

Premier League · Uganda
Police €3.22m
Full time 0 : 0
UPDF €1.85m
1 1.75
X 3.40
2 4.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.76 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Police 59%@1.75
Draw 24%@3.40
UPDF 17%@4.75
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 28%@4.53
Under 2.5 72%@1.76
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 35%@1.88
No 65%@1.82
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 82%@1.66
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PoliceModelUPDF
51%Ball possession49%
10Shots6
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks2
PoliceRealUPDF
53%Ball possession47%
7Shots6
4Shots on goal2
4Corner kicks4
PoliceReal · ModelUPDF
53%51%Ball possession47%49%
710Shots66
44Shots on goal23
44Corner kicks42

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PolicePer gameUPDF
1.1Goals for / game0.8
1.0Goals against / game1.3
49%Ball possession48%
8.2Shots per game6.4
4.8Corners per game3.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PoliceRateUPDF
40%Wins10%
60%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Police WLWDD
W 16 Sept Lugazi Police 0 2 2.92 2.42
L 2 Sept Blacks Power Police 1 0 2.07 3.55
W 29 Aug Police Mbarara City 1 0 1.62 5.50
D 23 May Kitara Police 2 2 – –
D 19 May Police Entebbe UPPC 1 1 – –
D 12 May Police Vipers 0 0 4.50 1.80
L 6 May Calvary Police 1 0 – –
W 29 Apr Police UPDF 2 0 1.88 4.00
L 25 Apr Maroons Police 3 1 2.35 3.05
W 21 Apr Police URA 2 1 2.35 3.35
UPDF WLDLD
W 17 Sept UPDF Maroons 1 0 2.22 3.30
L 1 Sept Entebbe UPPC UPDF 2 1 1.65 5.10
D 29 Aug UPDF Kataka 0 0 – –
L 23 May Villa UPDF 2 1 – –
D 19 May UPDF Calvary 0 0 1.50 6.75
L 13 May UPDF KCCA 1 2 6.00 1.57
L 7 May Entebbe UPPC UPDF 2 0 – –
L 29 Apr Police UPDF 2 0 1.88 4.00
D 24 Apr UPDF URA 0 0 2.62 2.85
W 21 Apr BUL UPDF 2 5 1.62 6.75

Past meetings

Police
3·0·0
UPDF
  • Apr 2026 Police 2 - 0 UPDF
  • Nov 2025 UPDF 1 - 2 Police
  • May 2025 Police 1 - 0 UPDF

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 BUL 6 +8 14
2 NEC 6 +7 12
3 Villa 6 +6 12
4 Blacks Power 6 +2 11
5 Police 6 +2 9
6 Entebbe UPPC 6 +1 9
7 Lugazi 6 -2 8
8 UPDF 6 0 7
9 Express 6 -1 6
10 KCCA 6 -3 6
11 Vipers 4 +2 5
12 Maroons 6 -1 5
13 URA 5 -3 5
14 Kitara 4 0 4
15 Mbarara City 5 -1 4
16 Kataka 5 -4 3
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 5 -4 3
18 Ntugasaze 6 -9 2
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