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Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Pittsburgh €3.10m
Full time 0 : 0
Tampa Bay €4.97m
1 3.15
X 3.05
2 2.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.20 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Pittsburgh 29%@3.15
Draw 29%@3.05
Tampa Bay 42%@2.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 23%@4.02
Under 3.5 77%@1.20
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.95
No 42%@1.81
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.49
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PittsburghModelTampa Bay
0.77xG1.68
47%Ball possession53%
7Shots14
4Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made15
PittsburghRealTampa Bay
0.89xG0.69
41%Ball possession59%
8Shots12
0Shots on goal2
2Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards1
0Offside calls0
16Fouls made15
PittsburghReal · ModelTampa Bay
0.890.77xG0.691.68
41%47%Ball possession59%53%
87Shots1214
04Shots on goal26
23Corner kicks55
31Yellow cards12
01Offside calls01
1613Fouls made1515

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PittsburghPer gameTampa Bay
1.1Goals for / game1.9
0.8Goals against / game1.2
44%Ball possession51%
8.0Shots per game14.9
3.2Corners per game5.1
0.84Expected goals1.74

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PittsburghRateTampa Bay
50%Wins60%
50%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Pittsburgh LLWDL
L 27 Sept Orange C Pittsburgh 1 0 2.92 2.40
L 20 Sept Detroit Pittsburgh 1 0 1.93 4.15
W 13 Sept Pittsburgh Loudoun 1 0 1.72 4.75
D 6 Sept Miami FC Pittsburgh 2 2 3.30 2.15
L 27 Aug El Paso Pittsburgh 2 1 2.30 3.05
W 23 Aug Brooklyn Pittsburgh 0 1 2.75 2.50
W 16 Aug Pittsburgh Charleston 3 1 2.57 2.70
D 9 Aug Pittsburgh Sacrament 0 0 2.30 3.30
W 2 Aug Oakland Roots Pittsburgh 0 1 2.28 3.15
L 30 Jul Pittsburgh FC Tulsa 0 1 1.87 4.25
Tampa Bay LDWLW
L 4 Oct Tampa Bay Miami FC 1 2 1.41 6.80
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
W 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
L 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
L 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
W 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30

Past meetings

Pittsburgh
1·1·3
Tampa Bay
  • Mar 2026 Tampa Bay 3 - 0 Pittsburgh
  • Aug 2025 Tampa Bay 2 - 1 Pittsburgh
  • Jun 2025 Pittsburgh 2 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Sept 2024 Tampa Bay 2 - 1 Pittsburgh
  • Apr 2024 Pittsburgh 0 - 0 Tampa Bay

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day