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Piratas vs Alebrijes prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Piratas €4.43m
Full time 4 : 0
Alebrijes €2.53m
1 1.36
X 5.35
2 9.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Piratas win 1 Odds @1.36 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Piratas 86%@1.36
Draw 9%@5.35
Alebrijes 5%@9.25
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 41%@2.01
Under 3.5 59%@1.40
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@2.27
No 53%@1.75
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 68%@1.27
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PiratasModelAlebrijes
1.88xG1.20
55%Ball possession45%
18Shots10
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards3
5Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
PiratasRealAlebrijes
1.82xG0.42
72%Ball possession28%
22Shots5
10Shots on goal1
11Corner kicks0
0Yellow cards3
3Offside calls2
23Fouls made10
PiratasReal · ModelAlebrijes
1.821.88xG0.421.20
72%55%Ball possession28%45%
2218Shots510
106Shots on goal14
116Corner kicks04
03Yellow cards33
35Offside calls21
2312Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PiratasPer gameAlebrijes
1.2Goals for / game0.8
1.0Goals against / game1.8
55%Ball possession49%
14.6Shots per game12.3
6.1Corners per game4.1

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PiratasRateAlebrijes
40%Wins30%
70%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Piratas LWDWD
L 25 Sept Mineros Z Piratas 3 0 2.95 2.42
W 19 Sept Piratas Venados 2 1 1.62 4.50
D 11 Sept Cruz A Piratas 1 1 3.45 2.05
W 6 Sept Piratas Correcaminos 4 1 1.67 4.85
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
L 23 Aug Piratas Cancun 0 1 1.63 5.50
L 15 Aug CA La Paz Piratas 2 0 2.37 2.80
W 8 Aug Durango Piratas 0 3 2.22 3.00
W 2 Aug Piratas Monarcas 1 0 2.45 3.00
D 26 Jul CDS T Piratas 0 0 1.95 3.80
Alebrijes LLWLD
L 25 Sept Alebrijes CA La Paz 1 3 3.40 2.07
L 20 Sept Cancun Alebrijes 3 0 1.70 4.75
W 11 Sept Alebrijes Durango 1 0 3.10 2.52
L 6 Sept Monarcas Alebrijes 4 1 1.53 5.40
D 28 Aug Alebrijes Tapatio 1 1 3.15 2.74
L 23 Aug CDS T Alebrijes 2 1 1.70 5.00
W 14 Aug Alebrijes Tepatitlan 1 0 2.07 4.60
W 6 Aug Tlaxcala Alebrijes 0 2 1.61 5.40
L 31 Jul Alebrijes Dorados 0 2 2.07 3.75
L 26 Jul Venados Alebrijes 3 0 1.88 4.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8
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