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Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa prediction — USL Championship

1 2.00
X 3.50
2 3.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.40 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Phoenix Rising 27%@2.00
Draw 16%@3.50
FC Tulsa 57%@3.35
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 17%@6.84
Under 3.5 83%@1.40
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.65
No 45%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.56
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Phoenix RisingModelFC Tulsa
0.91xG1.13
55%Ball possession45%
13Shots9
6Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made13
Phoenix RisingRealFC Tulsa
1.06xG1.48
41%Ball possession59%
9Shots10
2Shots on goal4
1Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
18Fouls made15
Phoenix RisingReal · ModelFC Tulsa
1.060.91xG1.481.13
41%55%Ball possession59%45%
913Shots109
26Shots on goal44
14Corner kicks23
12Yellow cards13
02Offside calls22
1814Fouls made1513

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Phoenix RisingPer gameFC Tulsa
1.4Goals for / game1.0
1.4Goals against / game0.6
48%Ball possession42%
11.9Shots per game10.2
4.3Corners per game3.9
0.83Expected goals1.27

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Phoenix RisingRateFC Tulsa
30%Wins50%
80%Over 1.520%
60%Over 2.520%
80%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Phoenix Rising LLLDW
L 4 Oct New Mexico Phoenix Rising 2 1 2.32 2.80
L 27 Sept Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising 3 0 2.40 2.65
L 20 Sept Phoenix Rising El Paso 1 3 2.15 3.00
D 6 Sept Monterey Bay Phoenix Rising 1 1 3.20 2.08
W 30 Aug Phoenix Rising Indy Eleven 2 1 2.05 3.25
D 23 Aug Sacrament Phoenix Rising 2 2 1.88 3.80
W 20 Aug Phoenix Rising Colorado 3 1 2.37 2.77
L 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
D 2 Aug Las V Phoenix Rising 1 1 2.63 2.45
D 26 Jul Phoenix Rising Hartford 0 0 1.67 4.55
FC Tulsa DWDDD
D 4 Oct FC Tulsa Sacrament 1 1 2.95 2.52
W 1 Oct FC Tulsa New Mexico 1 0 2.01 3.65
D 26 Sept El Paso FC Tulsa 1 1 1.95 3.50
D 20 Sept Brooklyn FC Tulsa 2 2 2.67 2.43
D 6 Sept San Antonio FC Tulsa 0 0 2.17 3.50
W 30 Aug FC Tulsa Rhode Island 1 0 2.75 2.57
W 23 Aug Orange C FC Tulsa 1 5 2.47 2.65
L 16 Aug New Mexico FC Tulsa 1 0 2.22 3.00
L 9 Aug FC Tulsa Detroit 0 1 2.55 2.82
W 6 Aug FC Tulsa Sacrament 1 0 2.95 2.47

Past meetings

Phoenix Rising
1·3·2
FC Tulsa
  • Mar 2026 FC Tulsa 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising
  • Nov 2025 FC Tulsa 1 - 0 Phoenix Rising
  • Jun 2025 FC Tulsa 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising
  • Apr 2025 FC Tulsa 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising
  • Mar 2025 Phoenix Rising 0 - 1 FC Tulsa
  • Sept 2024 Phoenix Rising 1 - 0 FC Tulsa

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15