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Penarol vs Boston River prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Penarol €28.90m
Full time 2 : 1
Boston River €9.02m
1 1.50
X 4.10
2 6.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Penarol win 1 Odds @1.50 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Penarol 86%@1.50
Draw 9%@4.10
Boston River 5%@6.50
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 66%@1.29
Under 1.5 34%@2.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.98
No 42%@1.77
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 61%@1.44
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

PenarolModelBoston River
50%Ball possession50%
12Shots8
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
0Fouls made16
PenarolRealBoston River
44%Ball possession56%
11Shots10
2Shots on goal1
1Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
PenarolReal · ModelBoston River
44%50%Ball possession56%50%
1112Shots108
26Shots on goal14
16Corner kicks54
22Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

PenarolPer gameBoston River
2.2Goals for / game1.5
0.7Goals against / game1.2
52%Ball possession52%
10.5Shots per game8.8
5.0Corners per game4.2

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

PenarolRateBoston River
70%Wins50%
70%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Penarol WDDWW
W 4 Oct Racing M Penarol 0 1 3.55 2.12
D 1 Oct Torque Penarol 1 1 3.20 2.25
D 24 Sept Danubio Penarol 1 1 2.65 2.92
W 19 Sept Cerro Penarol 1 2 6.40 1.53
W 13 Sept Penarol Albion 3 1 1.42 7.60
W 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
D 3 Sept Atenas Penarol 2 2 5.50 1.67
L 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
W 27 Aug Penarol Torque 1 0 2.25 3.50
D 22 Aug Maldonado Penarol 0 0 4.20 2.02
Boston River DWLLW
D 4 Oct Boston River Juventud 0 0 2.62 2.70
W 23 Sept Boston River Fenix 3 2 2.05 3.45
L 19 Sept Boston River Progreso 1 2 1.95 3.85
L 12 Sept Racing M Boston River 3 2 1.95 3.95
W 9 Sept Boston River Colon 2 0 1.97 3.90
L 6 Sept Liverpool M. Boston River 1 0 1.85 4.40
W 2 Sept Liverpool M. Boston River 0 1 2.35 3.00
D 29 Aug Boston River Cerro 1 1 1.95 4.00
W 21 Aug Albion Boston River 2 3 2.30 3.15
D 14 Aug Boston River Danubio 0 0 2.42 3.05

Past meetings

Penarol
3·2·1
Boston River
  • Jul 2026 Penarol 3 - 0 Boston River
  • Mar 2026 Boston River 0 - 2 Penarol
  • Jan 2026 Penarol 2 - 2 Boston River
  • Aug 2025 Boston River 2 - 1 Penarol
  • Feb 2025 Penarol 1 - 1 Boston River
  • Oct 2024 Penarol 2 - 0 Boston River

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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