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Orange C vs Louisville City prediction — USL Championship

1 3.55
X 3.55
2 2.05

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.75 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Orange C 57%@3.55
Draw 16%@3.55
Louisville City 27%@2.05
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 75%@1.75
Under 2.5 25%@5.25
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.67
No 41%@2.18
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.61
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Orange CModelLouisville City
0.71xG1.39
50%Ball possession50%
7Shots14
4Shots on goal7
2Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made10
Orange CRealLouisville City
1.09xG1.47
63%Ball possession37%
13Shots9
3Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
0Yellow cards1
0Offside calls1
10Fouls made19
Orange CReal · ModelLouisville City
1.090.71xG1.471.39
63%50%Ball possession37%50%
137Shots914
34Shots on goal47
52Corner kicks45
02Yellow cards12
01Offside calls12
1012Fouls made1910

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Orange CPer gameLouisville City
1.6Goals for / game1.6
1.7Goals against / game1.4
47%Ball possession48%
9.2Shots per game14.8
2.7Corners per game5.1
1.02Expected goals1.45

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Orange CRateLouisville City
40%Wins40%
100%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Orange C LWLLD
L 4 Oct Orange C Monterey Bay 1 2 2.02 3.40
W 27 Sept Orange C Pittsburgh 1 0 2.92 2.40
L 20 Sept Lexington Orange C 6 0 1.53 5.60
L 13 Sept Orange C Las V 0 2 2.37 2.63
D 6 Sept Orange C Sacrament 1 1 3.20 2.12
D 30 Aug Oakland Roots Orange C 1 1 1.90 3.60
L 23 Aug Orange C FC Tulsa 1 5 2.47 2.65
L 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Orange C El Paso 2 0 2.20 3.00
W 26 Jul Monterey Bay Orange C 1 2 2.18 3.10
Louisville City WDWLD
W 4 Oct Hartford Louisville City 0 1 2.52 2.57
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
W 20 Sept Louisville City Loudoun 2 1 1.44 6.00
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
L 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75

Past meetings

Orange C
0·1·1
Louisville City
  • Oct 2025 Orange C 0 - 0 Louisville City
  • May 2024 Louisville City 3 - 0 Orange C

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15