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New Mexico vs Phoenix Rising prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
New Mexico €3.67m
Full time 2 : 1
Phoenix Rising €3.75m
1 2.32
X 3.55
2 2.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.50 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
New Mexico 69%@2.32
Draw 14%@3.55
Phoenix Rising 17%@2.80
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 75%@1.55
Under 2.5 25%@4.65
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.50
No 31%@2.52
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 74%@1.72
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

New MexicoModelPhoenix Rising
1.27xG0.95
56%Ball possession44%
13Shots10
5Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
11Fouls made13
New MexicoRealPhoenix Rising
1.01xG2.10
46%Ball possession54%
11Shots24
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks4
4Yellow cards4
1Offside calls0
21Fouls made16
New MexicoReal · ModelPhoenix Rising
1.011.27xG2.100.95
46%56%Ball possession54%44%
1113Shots2410
65Shots on goal53
44Corner kicks44
43Yellow cards42
13Offside calls02
2111Fouls made1613

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

New MexicoPer gamePhoenix Rising
1.4Goals for / game1.2
1.4Goals against / game1.4
61%Ball possession50%
11.9Shots per game11.8
3.8Corners per game3.8
1.10Expected goals0.95

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

New MexicoRatePhoenix Rising
30%Wins30%
60%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.560%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

New Mexico LLDDD
L 1 Oct FC Tulsa New Mexico 1 0 2.01 3.65
L 27 Sept New Mexico Sacrament 2 3 3.35 2.04
D 20 Sept Colorado New Mexico 0 0 1.87 3.80
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
W 6 Sept Las V New Mexico 1 2 1.97 3.40
L 30 Aug New Mexico San Antonio 1 2 2.25 2.87
W 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
D 22 Aug Loudoun New Mexico 0 0 2.22 2.90
W 16 Aug New Mexico FC Tulsa 1 0 2.22 3.00
Phoenix Rising LLWDW
L 27 Sept Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising 3 0 2.40 2.65
L 20 Sept Phoenix Rising El Paso 1 3 2.15 3.00
W 13 Sept Phoenix Rising FC Tulsa 2 1 2.00 3.35
D 6 Sept Monterey Bay Phoenix Rising 1 1 3.20 2.08
W 30 Aug Phoenix Rising Indy Eleven 2 1 2.05 3.25
D 23 Aug Sacrament Phoenix Rising 2 2 1.88 3.80
W 20 Aug Phoenix Rising Colorado 3 1 2.37 2.77
L 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
D 2 Aug Las V Phoenix Rising 1 1 2.63 2.45
D 26 Jul Phoenix Rising Hartford 0 0 1.67 4.55

Past meetings

New Mexico
3·1·2
Phoenix Rising
  • Jun 2026 New Mexico 4 - 0 Phoenix Rising
  • Apr 2026 Phoenix Rising 3 - 0 New Mexico
  • Oct 2025 Phoenix Rising 0 - 1 New Mexico
  • Jun 2025 Phoenix Rising 3 - 3 New Mexico
  • May 2025 New Mexico 1 - 2 Phoenix Rising
  • Nov 2024 New Mexico 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
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