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New Mexico vs Lexington prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
New Mexico €3.50m
Full time 2 : 1
Lexington €4.12m
1 2.43
X 3.40
2 2.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.44 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
New Mexico 77%@2.43
Draw 10%@3.40
Lexington 13%@2.80
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 12%@10.41
Under 3.5 88%@1.42
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.62
No 69%@2.30
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 83%@1.72
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

New MexicoModelLexington
1.39xG1.04
54%Ball possession46%
10Shots11
5Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
New MexicoRealLexington
2.44xG0.85
66%Ball possession34%
17Shots13
4Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks7
4Yellow cards2
3Offside calls3
5Fouls made14
New MexicoReal · ModelLexington
2.441.39xG0.851.04
66%54%Ball possession34%46%
1710Shots1311
45Shots on goal35
64Corner kicks75
42Yellow cards23
32Offside calls32
513Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

New MexicoPer gameLexington
2.0Goals for / game1.5
0.8Goals against / game1.2
55%Ball possession49%
10.3Shots per game12.2
3.9Corners per game5.3
1.17Expected goals1.11

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

New MexicoRateLexington
70%Wins50%
60%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

New Mexico WLLDD
W 4 Oct New Mexico Phoenix Rising 2 1 2.32 2.80
L 1 Oct FC Tulsa New Mexico 1 0 2.01 3.65
L 27 Sept New Mexico Sacrament 2 3 3.35 2.04
D 20 Sept Colorado New Mexico 0 0 1.87 3.80
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
W 6 Sept Las V New Mexico 1 2 1.97 3.40
L 30 Aug New Mexico San Antonio 1 2 2.25 2.87
D 22 Aug Loudoun New Mexico 0 0 2.22 2.90
W 16 Aug New Mexico FC Tulsa 1 0 2.22 3.00
Lexington WWWWL
W 4 Oct Lexington El Paso 3 1 1.83 3.90
W 27 Sept Monterey Bay Lexington 2 3 3.30 2.15
W 20 Sept Lexington Orange C 6 0 1.53 5.60
W 13 Sept Oakland Roots Lexington 1 4 2.38 2.78
L 6 Sept Sporting JAX Lexington 3 2 3.90 1.85
L 30 Aug Lexington Colorado 0 1 2.18 3.00
W 23 Aug Lexington Las V 2 0 1.66 4.75
L 16 Aug Sacrament Lexington 1 0 2.02 3.70
W 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
W 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80

Past meetings

New Mexico
2·0·1
Lexington
  • Jul 2026 Lexington 1 - 4 New Mexico
  • Sept 2025 New Mexico 2 - 1 Lexington
  • Jun 2025 Lexington 2 - 1 New Mexico

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day