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Nacional vs Famalicao prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional €21.45m
Full time 0 : 4
Famalicao €61.65m
1 4.40
X 3.40
2 2.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
73%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.26 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional 57%@4.40
Draw 16%@3.40
Famalicao 27%@2.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.41
Under 3.5 73%@1.26
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.95
No 53%@1.83
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.42
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NacionalModelFamalicao
1.19xG1.11
48%Ball possession52%
10Shots10
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
NacionalRealFamalicao
1.23xG1.46
55%Ball possession45%
12Shots12
3Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
11Fouls made10
NacionalReal · ModelFamalicao
1.231.19xG1.461.11
55%48%Ball possession45%52%
1210Shots1210
34Shots on goal74
74Corner kicks36
32Yellow cards32
01Offside calls11
1111Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NacionalPer gameFamalicao
1.1Goals for / game0.8
1.7Goals against / game1.0
50%Ball possession55%
10.5Shots per game9.2
3.3Corners per game5.8
1.15Expected goals0.91

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NacionalRateFamalicao
10%Wins10%
80%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nacional LLLLW
L 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
L 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
L 23 Aug Vitória SC Nacional 1 0 1.68 5.70
W 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional 2 2 1.98 4.80
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
D 22 Jul Nacional Leganes 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Tondela Nacional 0 0 – –
D 18 Jul Nacional Leixoes 3 3 – –
Famalicao DDDLL
D 13 Sept Famalicao Sporting CP 1 1 6.10 1.60
D 5 Sept Estrela Famalicao 2 2 3.05 2.52
D 30 Aug Famalicao GIL Vicente 0 0 1.95 4.55
L 23 Aug Santa Clara Famalicao 1 0 2.82 2.90
L 16 Aug Famalicao Maritimo 1 2 1.78 5.20
D 7 Aug Estoril Famalicao 1 1 3.00 2.60
L 31 Jul Famalicao Como 2 3 4.70 1.78
D 25 Jul Famalicao Felgueiras 0 0 – –
W 25 Jul Famalicao Tondela 1 0 – –
D 22 Jul Famalicao Arouca 0 0 – –

Past meetings

Nacional
1·1·2
Famalicao
  • Mar 2026 Famalicao 1 - 0 Nacional
  • Nov 2025 Nacional 0 - 1 Famalicao
  • Mar 2025 Nacional 2 - 1 Famalicao
  • Sept 2024 Famalicao 0 - 0 Nacional

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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