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Nacional vs Estoril prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1 3.00
X 3.35
2 2.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.35 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Nacional 23%@3.00
Draw 20%@3.35
Estoril 57%@2.60
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.47
Under 3.5 72%@1.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 39%@1.72
No 61%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.68
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

NacionalModelEstoril
0.98xG0.89
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots11
6Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
14Fouls made13
NacionalRealEstoril
2.08xG0.82
59%Ball possession41%
20Shots9
3Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards4
1Offside calls0
13Fouls made14
NacionalReal · ModelEstoril
2.080.98xG0.820.89
59%49%Ball possession41%51%
2012Shots911
36Shots on goal54
75Corner kicks44
23Yellow cards42
11Offside calls02
1314Fouls made1413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

NacionalPer gameEstoril
1.2Goals for / game0.8
1.4Goals against / game1.1
50%Ball possession53%
13.6Shots per game10.5
5.4Corners per game4.5
1.06Expected goals0.89

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

NacionalRateEstoril
20%Wins10%
90%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.520%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Nacional LLLLL
L 19 Sept Nacional Famalicao 0 4 4.40 2.00
L 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
L 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
L 23 Aug Vitória SC Nacional 1 0 1.68 5.70
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional 2 2 1.98 4.80
L 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
D 22 Jul Nacional Leganes 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Tondela Nacional 0 0 – –
D 18 Jul Nacional Leixoes 3 3 – –
Estoril LLDLL
L 20 Sept Estoril Casa Pia 1 2 1.75 5.10
L 14 Sept Braga Estoril 1 0 1.44 8.50
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
L 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
L 22 Aug Estoril Rio Ave 0 2 2.02 3.85
D 7 Aug Estoril Famalicao 1 1 3.00 2.60
D 31 Jul Os Belenenses Estoril 1 1 4.70 1.62
D 25 Jul Estoril Torreense 0 0 1.98 3.50
L 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 11 Jul Estoril Atletico CP 3 0 – –

Past meetings

Nacional
0·2·2
Estoril
  • Mar 2026 Nacional 0 - 1 Estoril
  • Oct 2025 Estoril 1 - 1 Nacional
  • Feb 2025 Nacional 2 - 2 Estoril
  • Sept 2024 Estoril 1 - 0 Nacional

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3