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Moreirense vs Maritimo prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1 2.82
X 3.20
2 2.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
43%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.47 Low chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Moreirense 57%@2.82
Draw 20%@3.20
Maritimo 23%@2.80
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 43%@2.15
Under 2.5 57%@1.62
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.98
No 40%@1.84
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.64
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MoreirenseModelMaritimo
0.53xG0.90
47%Ball possession53%
8Shots9
3Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
14Fouls made15
MoreirenseRealMaritimo
1.99xG0.82
38%Ball possession62%
11Shots9
5Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
0Offside calls0
14Fouls made16
MoreirenseReal · ModelMaritimo
1.990.53xG0.820.90
38%47%Ball possession62%53%
118Shots99
53Shots on goal24
33Corner kicks43
13Yellow cards32
00Offside calls01
1414Fouls made1615

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MoreirensePer gameMaritimo
1.2Goals for / game1.2
2.0Goals against / game1.4
36%Ball possession43%
6.8Shots per game10.8
2.4Corners per game2.6
0.44Expected goals0.99

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MoreirenseRateMaritimo
20%Wins40%
90%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Moreirense DLLWL
D 20 Sept Vitoria SC Moreirense 1 1 1.55 6.60
L 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
L 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 30 Aug Casa Pia Moreirense 0 1 2.67 2.92
L 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
D 9 Aug Moreirense Braga 2 2 6.30 1.60
W 1 Aug Moreirense Amarante 2 0 1.84 4.35
D 25 Jul GIL Vicente Moreirense 2 2 – –
L 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
D 18 Jul Moreirense AVS 2 2 – –
Maritimo DLLDW
D 19 Sept GIL Vicente Maritimo 1 1 2.05 4.20
L 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
L 29 Aug Arouca Maritimo 2 1 2.20 3.50
D 22 Aug Maritimo Academico Viseu 2 2 2.07 4.05
W 16 Aug Famalicao Maritimo 1 2 1.78 5.20
W 8 Aug Maritimo Casa Pia 1 0 2.15 4.10
D 25 Jul Maritimo Machico 0 0 – –
W 22 Jul Maritimo Camacha 2 0 – –
W 14 Jul Maritimo AVS 2 0 – –
L 15 May Maritimo Chaves 1 3 2.02 3.60

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3