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Moreirense vs Benfica prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense €24.95m
Full time 0 : 4
Benfica €377.05m
1 21.00
X 9.60
2 1.17

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @5.90 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Moreirense 18%@21.00
Draw 39%@9.60
Benfica 43%@1.17
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 72%@1.44
Under 2.5 28%@3.70
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@2.30
No 55%@1.68

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MoreirenseModelBenfica
0.51xG2.60
41%Ball possession59%
7Shots23
3Shots on goal13
2Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
14Fouls made12
MoreirenseRealBenfica
0.37xG2.93
26%Ball possession74%
9Shots20
1Shots on goal9
3Corner kicks7
4Yellow cards2
0Offside calls3
17Fouls made10
MoreirenseReal · ModelBenfica
0.370.51xG2.932.60
26%41%Ball possession74%59%
97Shots2023
13Shots on goal913
32Corner kicks78
43Yellow cards21
00Offside calls32
1714Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MoreirensePer gameBenfica
1.2Goals for / game3.7
1.6Goals against / game0.8
43%Ball possession65%
7.4Shots per game22.1
2.8Corners per game7.6
0.54Expected goals2.64

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MoreirenseRateBenfica
20%Wins80%
80%Over 1.5100%
70%Over 2.590%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Moreirense DWLWL
D 20 Sept Vitoria SC Moreirense 1 1 1.55 6.60
W 14 Sept Moreirense Maritimo 3 1 2.82 2.80
L 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 30 Aug Casa Pia Moreirense 0 1 2.67 2.92
L 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
D 9 Aug Moreirense Braga 2 2 6.30 1.60
W 1 Aug Moreirense Amarante 2 0 1.84 4.35
D 25 Jul GIL Vicente Moreirense 2 2 – –
L 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
D 18 Jul Moreirense AVS 2 2 – –
Benfica LWWWW
L 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 16 Sept AC Milan(Ita) Benfica(Por) 0 2 2.30 3.20
W 13 Sept Benfica GIL Vicente 3 1 1.14 23.00
W 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
W 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
W 27 Aug Aarhus(Den) Benfica(Por) 1 3 7.20 1.44
W 20 Aug Benfica(Por) Aarhus(Den) 3 1 1.14 19.00
W 17 Aug Casa Pia Benfica 0 7 17.00 1.22
D 13 Aug Heart M(Sco) Benfica(Por) 1 1 7.00 1.49
D 9 Aug Benfica Academico Viseu 2 2 1.14 21.00

Past meetings

Moreirense
0·1·4
Benfica
  • Apr 2026 Benfica 4 - 1 Moreirense
  • Dec 2025 Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica
  • Feb 2025 Benfica 3 - 2 Moreirense
  • Aug 2024 Moreirense 1 - 1 Benfica
  • Apr 2024 Benfica 3 - 0 Moreirense

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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