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Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising prediction — USL Championship

1 3.20
X 3.65
2 2.08

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
65%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.36 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Monterey Bay 26%@3.20
Draw 22%@3.65
Phoenix Rising 52%@2.08
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 69%@1.66
Under 2.5 31%@3.69
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.56
No 31%@2.30
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 62%@1.55
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Monterey BayModelPhoenix Rising
1.00xG0.82
52%Ball possession48%
11Shots12
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
15Fouls made15
Monterey BayRealPhoenix Rising
0.59xG0.49
59%Ball possession41%
10Shots9
3Shots on goal3
2Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards0
1Offside calls4
17Fouls made7
Monterey BayReal · ModelPhoenix Rising
0.591.00xG0.490.82
59%52%Ball possession41%48%
1011Shots912
35Shots on goal35
25Corner kicks15
12Yellow cards02
12Offside calls42
1715Fouls made715

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Monterey BayPer gamePhoenix Rising
1.2Goals for / game1.6
2.2Goals against / game1.7
53%Ball possession48%
10.9Shots per game12.8
5.0Corners per game5.1
0.99Expected goals1.01

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Monterey BayRatePhoenix Rising
0%Wins30%
80%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.570%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Monterey Bay WLLDL
W 4 Oct Orange C Monterey Bay 1 2 2.02 3.40
L 27 Sept Monterey Bay Lexington 2 3 3.30 2.15
L 20 Sept Charleston Monterey Bay 1 0 1.35 7.30
D 30 Aug Monterey Bay Sacrament 1 1 3.45 2.12
L 23 Aug Rhode Island Monterey Bay 3 1 1.43 6.90
D 16 Aug Oakland Roots Monterey Bay 1 1 1.93 3.40
L 9 Aug Monterey Bay New Mexico 2 5 2.30 2.80
L 6 Aug El Paso Monterey Bay 1 0 1.73 4.00
L 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80
L 26 Jul Monterey Bay Orange C 1 2 2.18 3.10
Phoenix Rising LLLWW
L 4 Oct New Mexico Phoenix Rising 2 1 2.32 2.80
L 27 Sept Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising 3 0 2.40 2.65
L 20 Sept Phoenix Rising El Paso 1 3 2.15 3.00
W 13 Sept Phoenix Rising FC Tulsa 2 1 2.00 3.35
W 30 Aug Phoenix Rising Indy Eleven 2 1 2.05 3.25
D 23 Aug Sacrament Phoenix Rising 2 2 1.88 3.80
W 20 Aug Phoenix Rising Colorado 3 1 2.37 2.77
L 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
D 2 Aug Las V Phoenix Rising 1 1 2.63 2.45
D 26 Jul Phoenix Rising Hartford 0 0 1.67 4.55

Past meetings

Monterey Bay
3·0·2
Phoenix Rising
  • Jul 2026 Phoenix Rising 3 - 2 Monterey Bay
  • May 2025 Phoenix Rising 2 - 0 Monterey Bay
  • Mar 2025 Monterey Bay 3 - 1 Phoenix Rising
  • Oct 2024 Phoenix Rising 1 - 2 Monterey Bay
  • Mar 2024 Monterey Bay 1 - 0 Phoenix Rising

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15