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Monterey Bay vs New Mexico prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Monterey Bay €3.75m
Full time 2 : 5
New Mexico €3.67m
1 2.30
X 3.50
2 2.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.60 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Monterey Bay 25%@2.30
Draw 17%@3.50
New Mexico 58%@2.80
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.55
Under 3.5 70%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.55
No 41%@2.42
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 67%@2.00
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Monterey BayModelNew Mexico
1.08xG1.27
51%Ball possession49%
11Shots10
4Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
16Fouls made12
Monterey BayRealNew Mexico
2.97xG1.25
44%Ball possession56%
25Shots11
8Shots on goal6
12Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
12Fouls made20
Monterey BayReal · ModelNew Mexico
2.971.08xG1.251.27
44%51%Ball possession56%49%
2511Shots1110
84Shots on goal65
125Corner kicks24
12Yellow cards22
32Offside calls23
1216Fouls made2012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Monterey BayPer gameNew Mexico
1.1Goals for / game1.9
1.6Goals against / game0.6
56%Ball possession52%
9.9Shots per game10.9
4.9Corners per game3.8
1.03Expected goals1.48

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Monterey BayRateNew Mexico
20%Wins70%
70%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Monterey Bay WLLDD
W 4 Oct Orange C Monterey Bay 1 2 2.02 3.40
L 27 Sept Monterey Bay Lexington 2 3 3.30 2.15
L 20 Sept Charleston Monterey Bay 1 0 1.35 7.30
D 6 Sept Monterey Bay Phoenix Rising 1 1 3.20 2.08
D 30 Aug Monterey Bay Sacrament 1 1 3.45 2.12
L 23 Aug Rhode Island Monterey Bay 3 1 1.43 6.90
D 16 Aug Oakland Roots Monterey Bay 1 1 1.93 3.40
L 6 Aug El Paso Monterey Bay 1 0 1.73 4.00
L 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80
L 26 Jul Monterey Bay Orange C 1 2 2.18 3.10
New Mexico WLLDD
W 4 Oct New Mexico Phoenix Rising 2 1 2.32 2.80
L 1 Oct FC Tulsa New Mexico 1 0 2.01 3.65
L 27 Sept New Mexico Sacrament 2 3 3.35 2.04
D 20 Sept Colorado New Mexico 0 0 1.87 3.80
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
W 6 Sept Las V New Mexico 1 2 1.97 3.40
L 30 Aug New Mexico San Antonio 1 2 2.25 2.87
W 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
D 22 Aug Loudoun New Mexico 0 0 2.22 2.90

Past meetings

Monterey Bay
0·1·2
New Mexico
  • Sept 2025 Monterey Bay 1 - 1 New Mexico
  • Apr 2025 New Mexico 1 - 0 Monterey Bay
  • Aug 2024 New Mexico 3 - 2 Monterey Bay

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day