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Monterey Bay vs Lexington prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Monterey Bay €5.15m
Full time 2 : 3
Lexington €3.88m
1 3.30
X 3.55
2 2.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
62%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.34 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Monterey Bay 26%@3.30
Draw 25%@3.55
Lexington 49%@2.15
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 66%@1.71
Under 2.5 34%@3.32
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 66%@1.64
No 34%@2.23
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 60%@1.57
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Monterey BayModelLexington
1.04xG1.36
51%Ball possession49%
11Shots15
4Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made11
Monterey BayRealLexington
0.99xG1.70
53%Ball possession47%
7Shots17
3Shots on goal8
3Corner kicks13
5Yellow cards0
1Offside calls0
17Fouls made11
Monterey BayReal · ModelLexington
0.991.04xG1.701.36
53%51%Ball possession47%49%
711Shots1715
34Shots on goal85
34Corner kicks135
52Yellow cards02
11Offside calls01
1715Fouls made1111

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Monterey BayPer gameLexington
1.1Goals for / game1.9
2.1Goals against / game1.0
51%Ball possession51%
11.1Shots per game14.6
4.3Corners per game6.0
0.95Expected goals1.42

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Monterey BayRateLexington
0%Wins50%
80%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.550%
80%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Monterey Bay WLDDL
W 4 Oct Orange C Monterey Bay 1 2 2.02 3.40
L 20 Sept Charleston Monterey Bay 1 0 1.35 7.30
D 6 Sept Monterey Bay Phoenix Rising 1 1 3.20 2.08
D 30 Aug Monterey Bay Sacrament 1 1 3.45 2.12
L 23 Aug Rhode Island Monterey Bay 3 1 1.43 6.90
D 16 Aug Oakland Roots Monterey Bay 1 1 1.93 3.40
L 9 Aug Monterey Bay New Mexico 2 5 2.30 2.80
L 6 Aug El Paso Monterey Bay 1 0 1.73 4.00
L 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80
L 26 Jul Monterey Bay Orange C 1 2 2.18 3.10
Lexington WWWLL
W 4 Oct Lexington El Paso 3 1 1.83 3.90
W 20 Sept Lexington Orange C 6 0 1.53 5.60
W 13 Sept Oakland Roots Lexington 1 4 2.38 2.78
L 6 Sept Sporting JAX Lexington 3 2 3.90 1.85
L 30 Aug Lexington Colorado 0 1 2.18 3.00
L 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
W 23 Aug Lexington Las V 2 0 1.66 4.75
L 16 Aug Sacrament Lexington 1 0 2.02 3.70
W 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
W 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80

Past meetings

Monterey Bay
1·1·2
Lexington
  • Aug 2026 Lexington 3 - 2 Monterey Bay
  • May 2026 Lexington 3 - 1 Monterey Bay
  • Jun 2025 Monterey Bay 2 - 1 Lexington
  • Apr 2025 Lexington 0 - 0 Monterey Bay

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
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