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Monarcas vs Leones Negros prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

1 1.75
X 3.70
2 4.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
89%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.58 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Monarcas 46%@1.75
Draw 29%@3.70
Leones Negros 25%@4.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.58
Under 2.5 11%@12.78
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.58
No 44%@2.35
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 73%@1.37
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

MonarcasModelLeones Negros
54%Ball possession46%
17Shots10
6Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
MonarcasRealLeones Negros
40%Ball possession60%
12Shots11
5Shots on goal4
1Corner kicks4
4Yellow cards4
MonarcasReal · ModelLeones Negros
40%54%Ball possession60%46%
1217Shots1110
56Shots on goal44
17Corner kicks43
42Yellow cards43

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

MonarcasPer gameLeones Negros
2.0Goals for / game2.1
1.3Goals against / game1.4
55%Ball possession49%
14.5Shots per game12.6
7.0Corners per game3.6

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

MonarcasRateLeones Negros
60%Wins50%
60%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.580%
60%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Monarcas DLWWW
D 4 Oct Monarcas Tlaxcala 1 1 1.52 5.25
L 27 Sept Venados Monarcas 2 1 2.72 2.47
W 13 Sept Mineros Z Monarcas 0 1 2.45 2.85
W 6 Sept Monarcas Alebrijes 4 1 1.53 5.40
W 29 Aug Dorados Monarcas 0 1 2.95 2.25
L 21 Aug Monarcas Correcaminos 1 3 1.62 4.90
W 15 Aug Cruz A Monarcas 1 2 2.65 2.62
W 9 Aug Monarcas Cancun 4 1 1.90 4.00
L 2 Aug Piratas Monarcas 1 0 2.45 3.00
W 26 Jul Monarcas CA La Paz 4 2 1.77 4.20
Leones Negros WWDWD
W 4 Oct Leones Negros Dorados 6 3 1.70 5.00
W 26 Sept Cruz A Leones Negros 1 2 2.55 2.65
D 13 Sept Leones Negros CA La Paz 2 2 2.22 2.95
W 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
W 23 Aug Durango Leones Negros 1 2 2.20 3.10
W 16 Aug Leones Negros CDS T 4 0 2.27 3.05
L 7 Aug Leones Negros Correcaminos 1 3 1.95 3.60
W 2 Aug Cancun Leones Negros 0 2 1.95 3.90
W 25 Jul Tlaxcala Leones Negros 2 4 1.84 4.30

Past meetings

Monarcas
1·0·5
Leones Negros
  • Apr 2026 Leones Negros 2 - 0 Monarcas
  • Oct 2025 Monarcas 2 - 3 Leones Negros
  • May 2025 Leones Negros 2 - 0 Monarcas
  • May 2025 Monarcas 2 - 0 Leones Negros
  • Mar 2025 Leones Negros 2 - 1 Monarcas
  • Oct 2024 Monarcas 0 - 2 Leones Negros

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8