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Miami FC vs Pittsburgh prediction — USL Championship

1 3.30
X 3.15
2 2.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
74%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.26 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Miami FC 43%@3.30
Draw 23%@3.15
Pittsburgh 34%@2.15
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@3.59
Under 3.5 74%@1.26
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.88
No 42%@1.95
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.89
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Miami FCModelPittsburgh
1.12xG0.73
54%Ball possession46%
11Shots7
5Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
15Fouls made12
Miami FCRealPittsburgh
1.70xG1.24
64%Ball possession36%
17Shots9
7Shots on goal3
7Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made11
Miami FCReal · ModelPittsburgh
1.701.12xG1.240.73
64%54%Ball possession36%46%
1711Shots97
75Shots on goal33
73Corner kicks43
13Yellow cards22
12Offside calls11
1415Fouls made1112

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Miami FCPer gamePittsburgh
1.4Goals for / game1.0
1.8Goals against / game0.8
48%Ball possession43%
11.2Shots per game7.4
3.9Corners per game2.7
1.15Expected goals0.72

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Miami FCRatePittsburgh
20%Wins40%
90%Over 1.540%
60%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Miami FC WWWWD
W 4 Oct Tampa Bay Miami FC 1 2 1.41 6.80
W 1 Oct Miami FC Sporting JAX 4 1 1.58 5.20
W 27 Sept Indy Eleven Miami FC 0 2 1.75 4.10
W 20 Sept Rhode Island Miami FC 1 2 1.45 6.10
D 13 Sept Brooklyn Miami FC 1 1 2.02 3.40
L 25 Aug Charleston Miami FC 5 0 1.45 7.00
L 16 Aug Hartford Miami FC 2 1 1.80 3.90
L 13 Aug San Antonio Miami FC 2 1 1.85 4.15
L 9 Aug Miami FC Las V 0 1 2.38 2.85
D 2 Aug Miami FC Detroit 2 2 3.65 1.95
Pittsburgh LLWDL
L 27 Sept Orange C Pittsburgh 1 0 2.92 2.40
L 20 Sept Detroit Pittsburgh 1 0 1.93 4.15
W 13 Sept Pittsburgh Loudoun 1 0 1.72 4.75
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
L 27 Aug El Paso Pittsburgh 2 1 2.30 3.05
W 23 Aug Brooklyn Pittsburgh 0 1 2.75 2.50
W 16 Aug Pittsburgh Charleston 3 1 2.57 2.70
D 9 Aug Pittsburgh Sacrament 0 0 2.30 3.30
W 2 Aug Oakland Roots Pittsburgh 0 1 2.28 3.15
L 30 Jul Pittsburgh FC Tulsa 0 1 1.87 4.25

Past meetings

Miami FC
1·1·3
Pittsburgh
  • May 2026 Pittsburgh 2 - 0 Miami FC
  • Oct 2025 Miami FC 3 - 1 Pittsburgh
  • Jul 2025 Pittsburgh 1 - 1 Miami FC
  • Oct 2024 Miami FC 0 - 4 Pittsburgh
  • May 2024 Pittsburgh 1 - 0 Miami FC

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15