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Lusitano GC vs Covilha prediction — Liga 3

Liga 3 · Portugal
Lusitano GC €300.00Th.
Full time 2 : 2
Covilha €325.00Th.
1 1.75
X 3.35
2 4.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
85%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lusitano GC 59%@1.75
Draw 24%@3.35
Covilha 17%@4.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 21%@5.83
Under 2.5 79%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 26%@2.22
No 74%@1.62
Bet Builder
1X & Under 2.5 73%@2.13
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Lusitano GCModelCovilha
50%Ball possession50%
9Shots6
4Shots on goal2
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made18
Lusitano GCRealCovilha
50%Ball possession50%
13Shots5
8Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks1
3Yellow cards1
0Offside calls4
17Fouls made17
Lusitano GCReal · ModelCovilha
50%50%Ball possession50%50%
139Shots56
84Shots on goal32
67Corner kicks14
32Yellow cards13
02Offside calls41
1711Fouls made1718

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Lusitano GCPer gameCovilha
0.7Goals for / game0.8
0.9Goals against / game1.0
51%Ball possession51%
9.0Shots per game7.3
6.1Corners per game4.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Lusitano GCRateCovilha
30%Wins30%
40%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lusitano GC LLWDL
L 6 Sept Louletano Lusitano GC 1 0 3.15 2.50
L 30 Aug Lusitano GC Os Belenenses 1 2 4.40 1.80
W 22 Aug Lusitano GC Mafra 2 1 2.72 2.67
D 16 Aug Caldas Lusitano GC 0 0 2.57 2.75
L 8 Aug Lusitano GC Atletico CP 0 1 2.27 3.15
D 15 Jul Benfica B Lusitano GC 1 1 – –
L 2 May Lusitano GC Atletico CP 0 1 2.35 3.05
W 25 Apr Amora Lusitano GC 1 2 2.95 2.52
W 18 Apr Lusitano GC Covilha 1 0 1.66 5.50
W 11 Apr Lusitano GC 1º Dezembro 2 1 1.70 4.90
Covilha LLLDW
L 5 Sept Mafra Covilha 1 0 1.82 4.75
L 30 Aug Covilha Mortagua 0 1 1.66 5.40
L 22 Aug Covilha Atletico CP 0 3 2.87 2.50
D 16 Aug Vitoria S Covilha 0 0 3.10 2.37
W 8 Aug Covilha Santarem 2 0 2.62 2.72
D 1 May Covilha Amora 1 1 2.50 3.00
D 25 Apr Caldas Covilha 1 1 2.30 3.35
L 18 Apr Lusitano GC Covilha 1 0 1.66 5.50
W 12 Apr Covilha Atletico CP 2 1 3.55 2.00
W 21 Mar 1º Dezembro Covilha 1 2 2.10 3.55

Past meetings

Lusitano GC
4·1·0
Covilha
  • Apr 2026 Lusitano GC 1 - 0 Covilha
  • Mar 2026 Covilha 1 - 3 Lusitano GC
  • Jan 2026 Lusitano GC 2 - 1 Covilha
  • Nov 2025 Covilha 0 - 2 Lusitano GC
  • Sept 2025 Covilha 1 - 1 Lusitano GC

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Os Belenenses 6 +11 16
2 Paredes 6 +4 13
3 Atletico CP 6 +5 11
4 AD Marco 09 6 +3 11
5 Varzim 6 +3 10
6 Fafe 6 +4 9
7 Vianense 6 +1 9
8 Oliveirense 6 0 9
9 Mafra 6 +4 8
10 Louletano 6 0 8
11 Caldas 6 0 8
12 Leca 6 -1 8
13 Guimaraes B 6 -1 6
14 Lusitano GC 6 -1 6
15 Covilha 6 -2 6
16 Trofense 6 -5 5
17 Santarem 6 -7 5
18 Sao Joao Ver 6 -3 4
19 Pacos F 6 -5 3
20 Vitoria S 6 -10 2
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